
TSE:TD
This summary was created by AI, based on 58 opinions in the last 12 months.
Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) has experienced substantial growth in recent years, particularly following recovery from previous money-laundering penalties. While the bank's wealth management and capital market segments remain strong and retail operations are relatively stable, many experts caution that current valuations are high, trading at approximately 16x PE against historical averages of around 13x PE. There is a sentiment that TD is overvalued by about 5%, with calls to trim positions or take profits after a significant run-up. Additionally, despite robust record earnings in recent quarters, concerns linger regarding growth potential in the U.S. due to imposed asset caps, leading some analysts to recommend a wait-and-see approach before re-entering the stock. Overall, investor sentiment is mixed—while some maintain long-term confidence in TD's dividend growth potential, others see risk in the high valuation and lack of future growth drivers.
It's been rangebound the past year. He owns it for income and potential growth, like this sector. Continues to be confident in TD, given its large position in Canadian personal and commercial, large US presence, capital markets, and wealth management business. Headwind continues to be the overhang of anti-money laundering regulations in the U.S. which hurt their attempted takeover of First Horizon Bank last year. Near-term they will continue to grow organically and buyback lots of shares and remediate with U.S. regulators. TD has the most excess capital among Canadian banks. They need to right their ship in the U.S., perhaps change executives. It will eventually return to its premium valuation.
It has had a rough go related to money laundering. It is well run but a laggard in the space and he wants to see a better technical picture which means more people are interested in it. It is better to look at something else - he owns National Bank and Royal Bank. He is not value focused and wants to see the tech picture to line up with the fundamentals picture.
A year ago, they were trying to buy First Horizon Bank, but now have at on of cash because they didn't buy it. But his cash is a drag on earnings for not being deployed. Is the most defensive Canadian stock. though has underperformed peers recently. They will find the right acquisition that works and will clear out money laundering allegations.
The last quarter disappointed investors and it was the only bank to announce re-structuring for next year, not just the last quarter as the other banks did. There are $500 million in expenditures needed for risk management and anti money laundering controls. Therefore the stock price has dropped but once this has all settled down it should be able to catch up to its peers. It pays a dividend of almost 5%. Buy 9 Hold 6 Sell 1
(Analysts’ price target is $88.10)Same comments as with Royal Bank. Both enjoy a regulated oligopoly. TD is well exposed to the US and enjoys a healthy wealth management business. TD is heavily capitalized, more than RY, because they couldn't buy First Horizon last spring. They can raise dividends, buyback shares and/or buy companies. Trades at a discount to the 5-year PE. The dividend will grown. Expect double-digit returns. He doesn't see a housing bubble, though housing supply is short as immigration inflows remain strong. That said, TD is exposed to a potential downturn in housing prices, but is a short-term headwind.
BCE beat, raised dividend, but free cashflow problems and layoffs. Dividend is really good. Will probably go to $48 before all is said and done. When there's bad news, stocks take a while to fully bleed out. Doesn't mean there isn't good value here from a dividend point of view.
For TD, banks are a tougher story due to capital ratios and inability to grow. Best balance sheet, due to failed takeover bid in US. Between the two, he'd pick this one right now. But instead of a bank, look to MFC or SLF.