TSE:TD

Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD.TO)

171.48
+1.11 (0.65%)
as of Sep 18, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
2220 watching
0
DON'T BUY

Very defined down trend. Not good for investors. In comparison to Royal Bank or National Bank - not performing well. Would recommend other names in Canadian banking sector. Range bound stock with weakness. 

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick May 11/23, Up 1%)

Tough time. Issues on US side with compliance. Transition period, some restructuring needed. First Horizons deal fell apart. Well capitalized. Needs to cut cost structure (layoffs), but it's hard to do.

DON'T BUY

Has owned this for a long time but won't sell because of the big capital gain. Shares have gone nowhere for a few years. Are concerns for the anti-laundering penalty in the US but TD is one of the best-capitalized banks in Canada. He can't believe TD's CEO is still around after failing to buy First Horizon Bank last year; he should be replaced. Prefers National and Royal. TD has lost its mojo.

Unspecified

Although Canadian banks are good for long term portfolio holdings there is a problem with TD since it has gone into the U.S. where it is just too competitive. TD is more like a regional bank there. Its numbers are fine but not fantastic. He switched to National Bank.

BUY
TD vs. RY

Both are the right ones to look at. Slight preference at the moment is towards TD on valuation. Bit more negative sentiment on TD due to regulatory scrutiny. Typical cycle of what happens to all the large banks, but no skeletons lurking. Both are buys today. Valuations are fairly attractive. Outlook for dividend growth isn't as strong given current environment, but still good dividend vehicles.

TOP PICK

They face regulatory challenges in the U.S. over money-laundering allegations. TD is spending on compliance and regulatory in response. A year from now, these expenses will be behind them and the stock will catch up to its peers.

(Analysts’ price target is $88.30)
WEAK BUY
TD vs. BCE, for capital appreciation, plus attractive and sustainable dividend?

BCE beat, raised dividend, but free cashflow problems and layoffs. Dividend is really good. Will probably go to $48 before all is said and done. When there's bad news, stocks take a while to fully bleed out. Doesn't mean there isn't good value here from a dividend point of view.

For TD, banks are a tougher story due to capital ratios and inability to grow. Best balance sheet, due to failed takeover bid in US. Between the two, he'd pick this one right now. But instead of a bank, look to MFC or SLF.

BUY

It's been rangebound the past year. He owns it for income and potential growth, like this sector. Continues to be confident in TD, given its large position in Canadian personal and commercial, large US presence, capital markets, and wealth management business. Headwind continues to be the overhang of anti-money laundering regulations in the U.S. which hurt their attempted takeover of First Horizon Bank last year. Near-term they will continue to grow organically and buyback lots of shares and remediate with U.S. regulators. TD has the most excess capital among Canadian banks. They need to right their ship in the U.S., perhaps change executives. It will eventually return to its premium valuation.

BUY

Very bullish on Canadian banks in general. Canadian regulators don't care if TD makes more US acquisitions, as long as capital ratios remain in line. US regulators care, however. Widespread regulatory crackdown on money laundering will result in a fine, insignificant in the grand scheme.

BUY

Canadian banks have underperformed for 2 years in a row, which is very strange. Will probably be fined for money laundering issue. Lots of cash on hand. 10x earnings, 4.75% yield, paid to hold the stock. Should be able to beat expectations over the next year.

DON'T BUY

It has had a rough go related to money laundering. It is well run but a laggard in the space and he wants to see a better technical picture which means more people are interested in it. It is better to look at something else - he owns National Bank and Royal Bank. He is not value focused and wants to see the tech picture to line up with the fundamentals picture.

WEAK BUY

His third favourite of the 5 big banks, solid bronze medalist. 

HOLD

He owns RY and TD in the space. More stable and diversified than the others.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jul 06/23, Up 8%)

A year ago, they were trying to buy First Horizon Bank, but now have at on of cash because they didn't buy it. But his cash is a drag on earnings for not being deployed. Is the most defensive Canadian stock. though has underperformed peers recently. They will find the right acquisition that works and will clear out money laundering allegations.

BUY

One of the better banks in Canada. Difficulties with First Horizon deal collapsing. Legal issues. Integrating Cowen. Reduced expectations, so possibility they'll beat those. Not expensive at these levels, great dividend, flush with capital. Interest rate environment will work in its favour. 

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