TSE:TD

Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD.TO)

174.12
+1.31 (0.76%)
as of Jul 15, 2026, 2:52:05 pm Market Open.
2223 watching
0
Investor Insights
star iconJul 15, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 58 opinions in the last 12 months.

Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) has experienced substantial growth in recent years, particularly following recovery from previous money-laundering penalties. While the bank's wealth management and capital market segments remain strong and retail operations are relatively stable, many experts caution that current valuations are high, trading at approximately 16x PE against historical averages of around 13x PE. There is a sentiment that TD is overvalued by about 5%, with calls to trim positions or take profits after a significant run-up. Additionally, despite robust record earnings in recent quarters, concerns linger regarding growth potential in the U.S. due to imposed asset caps, leading some analysts to recommend a wait-and-see approach before re-entering the stock. Overall, investor sentiment is mixed—while some maintain long-term confidence in TD's dividend growth potential, others see risk in the high valuation and lack of future growth drivers.

consensus icon
Consensus
Overvalued
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Valuation
Overvalued
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Similar
RY
WEAK BUY
TD vs. BCE, for capital appreciation, plus attractive and sustainable dividend?

BCE beat, raised dividend, but free cashflow problems and layoffs. Dividend is really good. Will probably go to $48 before all is said and done. When there's bad news, stocks take a while to fully bleed out. Doesn't mean there isn't good value here from a dividend point of view.

For TD, banks are a tougher story due to capital ratios and inability to grow. Best balance sheet, due to failed takeover bid in US. Between the two, he'd pick this one right now. But instead of a bank, look to MFC or SLF.

BUY

It's been rangebound the past year. He owns it for income and potential growth, like this sector. Continues to be confident in TD, given its large position in Canadian personal and commercial, large US presence, capital markets, and wealth management business. Headwind continues to be the overhang of anti-money laundering regulations in the U.S. which hurt their attempted takeover of First Horizon Bank last year. Near-term they will continue to grow organically and buyback lots of shares and remediate with U.S. regulators. TD has the most excess capital among Canadian banks. They need to right their ship in the U.S., perhaps change executives. It will eventually return to its premium valuation.

BUY

Very bullish on Canadian banks in general. Canadian regulators don't care if TD makes more US acquisitions, as long as capital ratios remain in line. US regulators care, however. Widespread regulatory crackdown on money laundering will result in a fine, insignificant in the grand scheme.

BUY

Canadian banks have underperformed for 2 years in a row, which is very strange. Will probably be fined for money laundering issue. Lots of cash on hand. 10x earnings, 4.75% yield, paid to hold the stock. Should be able to beat expectations over the next year.

DON'T BUY

It has had a rough go related to money laundering. It is well run but a laggard in the space and he wants to see a better technical picture which means more people are interested in it. It is better to look at something else - he owns National Bank and Royal Bank. He is not value focused and wants to see the tech picture to line up with the fundamentals picture.

WEAK BUY

His third favourite of the 5 big banks, solid bronze medalist. 

HOLD

He owns RY and TD in the space. More stable and diversified than the others.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jul 06/23, Up 8%)

A year ago, they were trying to buy First Horizon Bank, but now have at on of cash because they didn't buy it. But his cash is a drag on earnings for not being deployed. Is the most defensive Canadian stock. though has underperformed peers recently. They will find the right acquisition that works and will clear out money laundering allegations.

BUY

One of the better banks in Canada. Difficulties with First Horizon deal collapsing. Legal issues. Integrating Cowen. Reduced expectations, so possibility they'll beat those. Not expensive at these levels, great dividend, flush with capital. Interest rate environment will work in its favour. 

HOLD

Overhang due to US issues from First Horizon plus anti-money laundering procedures. Still a great bank. Well positioned in US, very strong deposit base in Canada. Low funding cost for loans and mortgages. Lots of capital. 

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Mar 23/23, Up 13%)

Continues to think the franchise value is there, strong, and growing. In the wake of failed acquisition, question marks surrounding leadership and strategy. Best way to answer this is to put up good financial performance. Continues to own and buy.

BUY

Lots of excess capital gives them flexibility. Buy if you're looking for income.

TOP PICK

The last quarter disappointed investors and it was the only bank to announce re-structuring for next year, not just the last quarter as the other banks did. There are $500 million in expenditures needed for risk management and anti money laundering controls. Therefore the stock price has dropped but once this has all settled down it should be able to catch up to its peers. It pays a dividend of almost 5%.    Buy 9  Hold 6  Sell 1

(Analysts’ price target is $88.10)
Unspecified

It is OK on the monthlies but financials haven't done too much and there are better places to be. You could own TD or Royal Bank for the long term but don't buy for a trade since it could head down.

BUY
Impact of a housing bubble?

Same comments as with Royal Bank. Both enjoy a regulated oligopoly. TD is well exposed to the US and enjoys a healthy wealth management business. TD is heavily capitalized, more than RY, because they couldn't buy First Horizon last spring. They can raise dividends, buyback shares and/or buy companies. Trades at a discount to the 5-year PE. The dividend will grown. Expect double-digit returns. He doesn't see a housing bubble, though housing supply is short as immigration inflows remain strong. That said, TD is exposed to a potential downturn in housing prices, but is a short-term headwind.

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