Suncor Energy Inc (SU.TO) Buy, Sell or Hold

Suncor Energy Inc (SU.TO)

97.01

+1.25 (1.31%)

as of Sep 24, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.

1173 watching

TOP PICK

It is the largest integrated oil company in Canada and the largest operator in the oil sands with its 31 year life expectancy. They have been able to grow their dividend meaningfully. (Analysts’ price target is $50.01)

BUY

Oil is a difficult space, but SU is building a base around $40. Strategy: buy the strongest stock in a struggling sector, which is SU. SU has the balance sheet to pick up cheap assets.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

oil Oil is tricky. It's a broken market that may or may not be coming back. Some have returned to gold too early. Over the decades, oil has risen and fallen largely due to spin (i.e. Peak Oil). He picks up a little oil when the stocks get cheap. Oil is a messy space. Of the juniors, WCP is his favourite. SU-T is the senior one he likes. But he really likes Advantage (but they deal in natural gas, not oil).

HOLD

The energy space is really tough. She likes things that are in management's control, which it is not here. There is growing interest in the energy space which has been left for dead. It will trade up with the whole group. They can grow cash flow without having the have the commodity grow and that is why she holds it.

TOP PICK

It does not hurt to have a major integrated player. There will be some noise going forward as they have had some unplanned outages. Their production forecasts are a little lower than analysts expected and their capex requirements were a bit higher. A solid company that generates significant free cash flow -- they hope to increase that by $2 billion. The most broadly owned energy stock in Canada. Yield 3.8% (Analysts’ price target is $49.64)

BUY

He owns CNQ that and SU are the top two large energy companies. SU continues to buyback shares and raise their dividend. They've made astute acquisitions. SU is also increasing cash flow. But they're under pressure from climate change. SU will continue to cut costs, increase cash flow and raise their dividend. A great company and well-run.

COMMENT

CNQ-T vs. SU-T. He thinks we are at the point where we have peak demand for carbon-based energy. By 2025 every car manufacturer will at least have a hybrid. There will always be at last a little demand for carbon-based energy. Right now we are generating more energy from solar than from coal, so we are moving in the right direction. He is indifferent to the two stocks.

TOP PICK

In the fall, Suncor actually lagged the performance of the energy space, so he sees there is opportunity to play catch up. Free cash flow is up to $1 billion per year. He expects higher dividends and greater efficiency. Yield 3.91% (Analysts’ price target is $49.53)

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BUY

SU vs. CNQ He owns CNQ; with CU, they are the two best-run Canadian oil companies. They've maintained decent share prices as its peers got washed out. SU has benefitted from the diversity of their refining assets when the WTI price differential widened CNQ is a cash-flow machine, decreasing debt and costs. You can own SU or CNQ, not both. CNQ is in a better position of returning shareholder dollars through share buybacks and/or raising the dividend. Caveat: if oil prices rise in 2020, these two giants won't benefit as much as its smaller peers (e.g. WCP) which have fallen further.

DON'T BUY

He would not own it. We just went through the worst bear market for energy stocks. If you had to own energy stocks, you owned SU-T. Now people will use it to raise money to buy mid-caps.

BUY

He owns CNQ, instead. Oil stocks have moved up recently with the oil price. SU has executed well with its acquisitions. The question is where does oil go with people not wanting carbon energy. SU is doing a good job reducing its carbon footprint. Okay to own this for the next while.

BUY

Money seems to want to return to the Canadian oil sector. He owns Suncor and would put more money into it. They are shareholder friendly, paying good dividends and buying back stock.

HOLD

A big holding. SU has held in well in an unloved industry (capex has slid). SU is a core energy holding in Canada. It balance upstream and downstream, so fully integrated. Hold onto it and collect the dividend over 4%. SU will do well going forward. SU will invest in capex yet watch operating expenses. This remains a core holding of his.

BUY

It is a cash machine. They are buying back their shares whenever their stock is cheap. They pay a nice dividend.

DON'T BUY

He does not follow energy companies any more. He won't invest because they can't control the price of oil.

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Suncor Energy Inc (SU.TO)