Suncor Energy Inc (SU.TO)

The whole reflation trade is a trade. Oil stocks have been beaten down for a while. For a trade, the energy price pop is good. However, as a long term trend, they are not investable since there is a move away from traditional energy. He has no preference between CNQ or SU. He is overweight energy right now.

He would prefer SU for the dividend but there is risk that it will be cut. CNQ is a little more natural gas as well.

Trades at 8x earnings. They've done a great job keeping costs down and moving to self-driving cars during Covid. Also, it's an integrated company with a great retail network. They're in a good position to manage this difficult time in the oil market. This and CNQ are stable oil businesses in this time, best in this class.

It's one of his few core energy names; he's underweight energy. He's added to his position. They won't build any new oil sands plants. They enjoy long-life reserves and low costs. A great, long-term core hold in oil. He also likes Tourmaline and CPG, and pipelines. See also his top picks today.

CNQ would be better for dividend sustainability. They have less maintenance requirements on their properties, a better run company. There is better inside ownership. He owns both. At $60 oil, CNQ will have 18% free cashflow yield. Suncor has less leverage due to refining exposure.

Doesn't hold producers, as oil price not favourable, especially in western Canada. SU doesn't qualify as an income stock, as cashflow of producers is predicated on the commodity price, which can be difficulty to forecast and may trend down. Prefers, and holds, ENB instead.

He owns CNQ-T instead. It has been a very difficult period for all oil companies. You are seeing bigger and bigger acquisitions happening in the sector. They have done well in buying up businesses that will do well within their company. Their oil sands productions are near normal global emission standards. There is a perception that Canadian oil is really very dirty.