Opinions Christine Poole
Shaw Communication (B)SJR.B.TOSELL ON STRENGTHMar 16, 2021
Christine PooleUnknown
$34.58
Stock price when the opinion was issued
$40.48
As of Apr 04, 2023. Market Open.
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(A Top Pick Aug 26/21, Down 5%) Last year, he considered this safe with some upside, but that hasn't happened. The Rogers deal has gone slower than expected, but it should close. He sold half his position at $38.50 last March, at a $22 ACB. The deal should close at end-2023.
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PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jan 06/21, Up 70%) The deal should go through. Stock is still at a healthy discount to the deal price, which would be a 10+% return in 3 months. He's holding, but not buying more.
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DON'T BUY
SELL
Allan Tong’s Discover Picks Since March 15, Shaw has gained 5.1%, lagging Telus at 6.5% and BCE at 13%. (Rogers is -2.2%.) There's little catalyst to increase the share price, so the question becomes whether to hold on or sell now. The downturn this month may offer a buying opportunity, but we're talking a quick trade. Shaw's fate is now tied to the soap opera at Rogers and hurting shares. Further, there's a risk that Ottawa will not approve the merger, though the street is confident it will happen. If the deal collapses, SJR.B stocks could tank. Are you willing to take that risk, or will you be cautious and sell? Read The Battle for Rogers and 4 Other Telecom Stocks to Consider for our full analysis.
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TOP PICK
Believes the deal with Rogers will close. Election could upset the apple cart, but polls don't expect a change in government. Even if there is, huge precedent for the deal to close. Good risk/reward right now, in a market where there's a lot of risk. Good place to park some cash while we wait for the deal. Yield is 3.21%. (Analysts’ price target is $39.18)
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PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Sep 03/20, Up 52%) Likes telecom in general. He sold out into the Rogers bid. If the deal doesn't go through, downside might be 30% or more.
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Rogers offered $40/share, and Shaw is trading at $34 now. She expects concessions with Rogers likely divesting some assets to meet federal regulatory approval, a process that will last for a year or more. Hold Shaw for now, then sell as shares approach $40.