Stockchase Opinions

Jason MannShaw Communication (B)SJR.B.TOPAST TOP PICKMar 31, 2022

(A Top Pick Apr 09/21, Up 19.74%) Bought it as merger arbitrage. He made his target profit of 24% and moved on.
$38.86

Stock price when the opinion was issued

$40.48

As of Apr 04, 2023. Market Open.

Cable
It's the ideal tool to help you make quicker, more informed decisions for managing and tracking your investments.

You might be interested:

DON'T BUY

It comes down to the Rogers deal, which the street thinks will happen, but this is the fourth deadline extension. The deal has been priced into shares, so there isn't much upside. Better to buy Rogers or Telus than Shaw.

COMMENT
Rogers will probably win the court battle, though there will be concessions. You better like Rogers.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Aug 26/21, Down 5%) Last year, he considered this safe with some upside, but that hasn't happened. The Rogers deal has gone slower than expected, but it should close. He sold half his position at $38.50 last March, at a $22 ACB. The deal should close at end-2023.
COMMENT
No real clarity yet on the takeover. Frustrating. Rock solid. Free cashflow generator, solid dividend. Long term, it would be harder for them to carry on as a standalone company.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jan 06/21, Up 70%) The deal should go through. Stock is still at a healthy discount to the deal price, which would be a 10+% return in 3 months. He's holding, but not buying more.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Dec 29/20, Up 76%) Believed entire sector was cheap and Roger's purchase of business was a bonus. Good dividend yield and grow opportunities for the sector.
DON'T BUY
Allan Tong’s Discover Picks Shaw doesn’t suffer the same corporate soap opera, but it’s still part of the drama because of this deal. I know, I know, I wrote about Shaw and Rogers recently, but things keep changing fast. If I want drama, I’ll watch The Squid Game or Maid on Netflix.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Dec 29/20, Up 71%) He bought if for the fundamentals. He sold, and shifted the money into Rogers. He's not a risk taker.
SELL
Allan Tong’s Discover Picks Since March 15, Shaw has gained 5.1%, lagging Telus at 6.5% and BCE at 13%. (Rogers is -2.2%.) There's little catalyst to increase the share price, so the question becomes whether to hold on or sell now. The downturn this month may offer a buying opportunity, but we're talking a quick trade. Shaw's fate is now tied to the soap opera at Rogers and hurting shares. Further, there's a risk that Ottawa will not approve the merger, though the street is confident it will happen. If the deal collapses, SJR.B stocks could tank. Are you willing to take that risk, or will you be cautious and sell? Read The Battle for Rogers and 4 Other Telecom Stocks to Consider for our full analysis.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Dec 29/20, Up 69%) It was a bonus that RCI.B-T decided to buy them out.
DON'T BUY
RCI.B-T vs. SJR.B-T. He is not buying either right now. He owns Bell and Telus. There is deal risk in the merger between Rogers and Shaw. You might want to take the money and run if you hold Shaw. Both are fairly priced.
TOP PICK
Believes the deal with Rogers will close. Election could upset the apple cart, but polls don't expect a change in government. Even if there is, huge precedent for the deal to close. Good risk/reward right now, in a market where there's a lot of risk. Good place to park some cash while we wait for the deal. Yield is 3.21%. (Analysts’ price target is $39.18)
PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Sep 03/20, Up 52%) Likes telecom in general. He sold out into the Rogers bid. If the deal doesn't go through, downside might be 30% or more.

PARTIAL SELL
High likelihood of the deal going through. If the deal doesn't go through, would have fairly significant downside. One strategy might be to sell a partial position, and put in another telco. Canadian telcos are steady businesses, modest growth, nice dividends.