Opinions James Telfser
Shaw Communication (B)SJR.B.TOWATCHApr 11, 2016
James TelfserOwned
$24.40
Stock price when the opinion was issued
$40.48
As of Apr 04, 2023. Market Open.
Cable
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PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Aug 26/21, Down 5%) Last year, he considered this safe with some upside, but that hasn't happened. The Rogers deal has gone slower than expected, but it should close. He sold half his position at $38.50 last March, at a $22 ACB. The deal should close at end-2023.
Ryan BushellOwned
Cable
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jan 06/21, Up 70%) The deal should go through. Stock is still at a healthy discount to the deal price, which would be a 10+% return in 3 months. He's holding, but not buying more.
Ryan BushellOwned
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DON'T BUY
SELL
Allan Tong’s Discover Picks Since March 15, Shaw has gained 5.1%, lagging Telus at 6.5% and BCE at 13%. (Rogers is -2.2%.) There's little catalyst to increase the share price, so the question becomes whether to hold on or sell now. The downturn this month may offer a buying opportunity, but we're talking a quick trade. Shaw's fate is now tied to the soap opera at Rogers and hurting shares. Further, there's a risk that Ottawa will not approve the merger, though the street is confident it will happen. If the deal collapses, SJR.B stocks could tank. Are you willing to take that risk, or will you be cautious and sell? Read The Battle for Rogers and 4 Other Telecom Stocks to Consider for our full analysis.
Stockchase DiscoverOwned
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TOP PICK
Believes the deal with Rogers will close. Election could upset the apple cart, but polls don't expect a change in government. Even if there is, huge precedent for the deal to close. Good risk/reward right now, in a market where there's a lot of risk. Good place to park some cash while we wait for the deal. Yield is 3.21%. (Analysts’ price target is $39.18)
Ryan BushellOwned
Cable
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Sep 03/20, Up 52%) Likes telecom in general. He sold out into the Rogers bid. If the deal doesn't go through, downside might be 30% or more.
Cable
Likes how they sold their media asset, and are now focusing on wireless. This is going to take a lot of money, but it is money they have available. Feels they are going to cover their dividend and are not going to have to raise capital. The dividend they are getting from Corus (CJR.B-T) is going to be paid as a DRIP program, giving them stock rather than cash. This gives them the option to do something if they need to down the road. CapX is going to be heavy in the next couple of years, but it is going to pay off a much higher growth profile than Telus (T-T), Bell (BCE-T) or Rogers (RCI.B-T). They are reporting this week, so wait to see what happens in case there is some updated guidance.