
TSE:SJ
EPS was $1.42, missing estimates of $1.75; revenue of $915M missed estimates of $1.01B. EBITDA of $162M missed estimates by 12%. Lower sales of utility poles was the main reason for the miss. Updated 2025 revenue guidance was also below consensus estimates. Margins were weaker as well. Total sales fell 3.6%. Lumber sales fell 19%. Net income fell 27%. It was a big miss from a usually-reliable company. We would not react here, as the utility issue could be temporary. But certainly not a good quarter.
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Owns shares, and will continue to own. Has taken partial profits, but has been considering adding more. Well positioned in utility poll business. Strong brand with excellent prospects. Climate change actually good for the business (replacements with disasters). Strong management tea with excellent return on equity.
Not a monopoly, but biggest market player in railway ties and utility poles. Behemoth. Earnings beat today, solid results, net income up nicely, increased dividend by 22%. Shares dropped during today's conference call, due to commentary on "customer budget constraints". Still, US and Canada infrastructure spending to come.
Important business now, and will be going forward. Attractive multiple, very high returns, balance sheet quite strong. Likes it.
NA's largest supplier of railway ties and utility poles. Owns and operates timberland and sawmills. 75% of demand comes from replacement work. Product is cheaper, more environmentally friendly, and lighter than alternatives. Attractive valuation of 14.5x earnings. Buy here, hold for long term. On a pullback, he'd buy aggressively. Yield is 1.5%.
Pulled back based on underlying demand. Businesses are pretty steady-eddy. Infrastructure buildout would help, but questions surround new US administration. Interest rates ticking up means home renos have ticked down. Don't step in here.
Hurricanes (needing lumber replacement) can't be predicted from one period to the next. Investors want to see predictable, recurring revenue and cashflow.