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TSE:S
On the surface, this would seem to be a really great company with nickel operations in Madagascar coming on. It has a Cuban story that seems like it is ready for a turnaround. Fundamentally the stock is okay but he feels the problem is that it is unloved on the street. There is really no catalyst for the name.
Big nickel project in Madagascar is taking longer than expected. Now looks like it will probably be in the 2nd half. Increased the dividend. It’s a sum of the parts story. Once their nickel project gets into full production, they have the potential to split themselves up. Feels the sum of the parts is worth more than the whole. 3.3% dividend while you are waiting.
Owns stock and bonds. Bonds outperformed stock. It is a viable company. You are dealing with coal and nickel prices. He thinks it is worth $9-$10 from a net asset value point of view. Have some very good assets. Are undervalued because of assets in Cuba. Pays a nice dividend and increased last quarter even though they missed their numbers. It is cheap at these levels. Thinks it will go higher
Nickel has a seasonality that is very similar to copper, from November right through until May. Nickel prices have been going higher over the last 6 weeks. This stock has been responding to higher nickel prices. Has come off a little bit recently on weakness in the mining sector in general. Have a major project which is coming into production. The key is if they can bring the project on at a reasonable cost. Watch the resistance level at around $6. Forming a base pattern which indicates a stock is getting close to a short-term bottom.
[Caller asked if Dividend stocks under $10 are ok]. It depends how many shares are out there. He has S-T, which is a best in class management team. Their balance sheet is incredibly conservative. Just finished Madagascar mine and did it at a sane cost. Now they are executing and there is a change for a dividend increase. It is not about the $10 but about the actual company.
Interesting and very adventurous company. Very active in Cuba and now very active in Madagascar, developing a very big deposit. Pretty good entry point but the problem with big mining projects globally is that sometimes they run into cost overruns. Doesn’t know if they will be able to get the Madagascar project done on time and on budget. Great track record. Before investing, do some homework by going to the website, reading the last couple of quarters and seeing if they are on track on that project.
(Market Call Minute.) Metal prices on nickel and cobalt as well as thermal coal are working against them right now and she would like to see how their new mine in Madagascar ramps up.