
TSE:RY
CM is taking less on credit provisions than other banks. Positive: credit situation better than others. Negative: taking more risk and, if wrong, stock would be penalized. CM is Canada-centric. Exposed to residential mortgages and commercial real estate in Canada; two iffy sectors, but doing better than expected. Good earnings and good asset management.
Don't sell CM. Trades more cheaply than RY. RY commands a premium price for a premium asset.
It's stable. Good managers. Net interest margins are lighter than their peers, but this is offset by a lower net charge-off ratio, reflecting a high quality loan book. So they can leverage their balance sheet to boost earnings and ROE. Last year's selloff was irrational, so RY stock was ripe for a bounce-back. But shares are high now and he'd look elsewhere. $150 is a good entry point. It's not overvalued at 14x forward, though it's high and pricing in future upside. Shares are due for a breather.
RY is certainly he leader in terms of size amongst the big Canadian bank stocks. NA has actually outperformed over numerous time periods, but over a three year timeframe, RY has been number 1. We would not say it is too late to purchase. Bank stocks and in particular RY have done a great job of returning capital to shareholders through dividend growth over recent years acting as relatively low risk investments. At 14x forward earnings, we think it is buyable.
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