
TSE:RY
This summary was created by AI, based on 56 opinions in the last 12 months.
Royal Bank (RY-T) is seen as a strong performer in the Canadian banking sector, boasting significant strengths in diverse areas including wealth management and capital markets. Experts laud its consistent dividend growth, with some analysts highlighting an average annual increase of over 10% in dividends. Despite these strengths, there are concerns about the current valuation, as RY is trading at a premium compared to historical averages, leading some to suggest trimming positions or waiting for a better entry point. The bank's recent quarterly earnings show resilience in the Canadian economy and increased earnings in capital markets, making it a top pick by several analysts. However, overall sentiment reflects caution due to high valuations and potential economic challenges ahead.
He owns no Canadian banks, because he owns only founder-run/owned businesses. Also, returns on invested capital are around only 12-15%, though consistent. TD and RY are the top two banks. TD is up 71% this year. He doesn't know what the shares will do in the future, but look at their PEs and compare it to the historic norm to determine when to buy or add shares. Or just DRIP shares.
The one to own if you want to be a worry-free, passive investor. Capital markets side of banks has been doing phenomenally well. Consumer and mortgage sides haven't been super-strong. Needs lower interest rates and more new mortgages for the next leg higher.
Fantastic global brand, dominant in Canada. Safe, stable. Great investment for a long-term hold. Likes, and has a lot of respect for. His firm doesn't focus on the banks, as they try to add value via other holdings.
EPS of $3.85 beat estimates of $3.54; revenue of $17.2B beat estimates of $16.7B. Royal Bank of Canada's raised return on equity target of 17% or higher, above consensus, appears achievable given robust capital generation and improving cost efficiency. Nontrading net interest income may grow at a mid-single-digit rate, aided by a shift toward noninterest-bearing deposits. Despite a cautious outlook, RBC expects mid- to high-single-digit commercial-loan growth, while mortgage activity might not improve until 2027. The bank's positive operating leverage goal for fiscal 2026 (6% in 2025), including 1-2% in Canadian banking, will be underpinned by mid-single-digit expense growth and progress in artificial intelligence. Capital markets and wealth management are key drivers. Provisions are likely to stay elevated, with the 2026 impaired provision ratio expected near 2025's 37 bps. We would consider it a good quarter, and the outlook, considering the Canadian economy, better than expected. The stock gets a premium valuation for its size and safety, but we would not really see it as overpriced considering the dividend and growth potential.
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Likes both for the longer term. Owns both. Hesitant to add to either right now, given the move each has had. TD has moved up the most this year. Interestingly, RY has moved up the least. So it's traditional premium versus the other banks has narrowed.
Both released really good earnings. Both beat in capital markets, with focus on wealth management. Instead, she'd look at traditional banking metrics such as PCLs and loan growth.
Better places to deploy capital right now with higher and growing dividends. See her Top Picks.
Banks in general have had a great year so far. BOC has cut rates, so the spread is good between lower deposit rates and higher mortgage rates.
One concern for banks is if mortgage renewals come in at higher post-Covid rates. What's that going to do to the consumer? Using more take-home pay to pay down debt instead of buying stuff puts downward pressure on the economy.
Next year will be more challenging.
His firm owns RY, BMO, and TD as cornerstone holdings in its dividend-growers mandate. Canadian banking is a stable, well-regulated oligopoly. Structurally profitable, heavy barriers to entry. Diversified by line of business and by geography. Its fee-based businesses should be very profitable this quarter.
One fly in ointment: tepid loan growth demand, especially in mortgages, and to a lesser extent in commercial loans. Thinks the worst of credit loss provisions is behind the Canadian banks.
Outlook in Canada is a bit rosier than it was 6 or 12 months ago. He'd continue to hold the banks. Holds this name for almost all clients, and hasn't trimmed that position in many years. In fact, he adds when it sells off. It's his preference to own the highest-quality bank and ride it through the ups and downs, rather than switching among the banks.
Premium valuation for a premium bank with premium assets. Likes the name, but doesn't want to pay over $200. Didn't like many of the bank earnings last quarter because PCLs were released back into earnings once worst-case tariff scenario didn't come to pass. This was premature and too optimistic. Fears our economy might get worse before it gets better.
If you have it in your portfolio, keep it. But she's holding off on buying right now.
Any potential stock split is irrelevant. The banks have been a wonderful thing in Canada, steady dividends that get raised frequently. Wouldn't sell and pay tax just to buy something else. Cooking on all cylinders. Best bank in Canada.
Know that all the banks have upped their non-Canadian exposure, so it's now about 50/50 Canada vs. outside Canada. RY has a very efficient US investment banking business, and is trying to expand retail.
Her premier choice of the Canadian banks.