
TSE:RY
Outlook is favourable. He owns BMO, RY, and TD. All 3 had good earnings, with TD probably the best. But the other two were also strong.
Tight, well-regulated oligopoly. A need, not a want. Diversified by geography and line of business. Good line of sight through the cycle to high, single-digit rate of dividend growth. He's overweight the banks.
Core holding, phenomenal name across all business segments. Outperformed the group. All that's reflected in the price, not cheap here. Interest rate cuts will support the consumer (lending, housing). Buy on weakness if you can get it.
Resolution on CUSMA will improve appetite to spend by consumers and businesses.
It is the highest weight in their bank holdings and is well positioned for growth. They bought HSBC Canada and can cross sell to clients. Its payout ratio is very reasonable at 45% of earnings. At a recent conference, bank CEO's expressed confidence in the outlook. The interest rate environment is more friendly now with payments more manageable than a couple of years ago. Banks continue to raise their dividends.
Splitting doesn't make the company bigger, but more accessible and the current price of $238 is still accessible to most investors. Splitting tends to happen at $1,000. Long-term, RY could be the best bank in the world. It's super-consistent, very well-run and not expensive. This is a buy, hold and forget about it.
Extremely well managed. Likes it, but don't buy more. 25-year-high valuation, and peak earnings expectations are built in. Released reserves, so not too much juice there. Capital is mostly optimized.
From here, you're basically earning your dividend yield plus a little bit of EPS compounding. That could get you 5-8% return over several years -- reasonable, but also optimistic. Very well diversified, but you can't outrun the Canadian consumer when it comes to the Canadian banks. To be wildly optimistic on the banks, you have to be wildly optimistic on home prices in major centres, and he's not.
(Note the shortish timeframe.) HSBC acquisition and its global capabilities are starting to bear fruit. Looking to expand wealth management in Middle East and China, thereby improving its positioning.