Restaurant Brands International (QSR.TO) Buy,…

Restaurant Brands International (QSR.TO)

102.05

-0.41 (0.40%)

as of Sep 18, 2026, 8:00:01 pm Market Open.

450 watching

BUY

They reported earnings today and they were a little disappointing -- $0.48 EPS versus $0.49 expectations. They have been forced to close their sit down dinning areas. They are starting to re-open locations and are mitigating the loss with increases in drive-thru and delivery sales. What really stands out is that Popeye's same store sales were up 32% and are running flat to year ago levels. He likes their menu innovations and thinks they could make some strategic acquisitions. This is a good entry point.

COMMENT

QSR has a lot of international exposure and he sees some opening beginning to occur in China. NTR is not impacted as we all have a need for food -- you can buy here. LSPD is asset light company, unfortunately it is economically sensitive -- requiring restaurants to be open to generate revenues.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Apr 11/19, Down 26%) This one has not worked out. Not much really has. It is a difficult period for this company. He bought it because they owned strong and growing brands and he continues to think this. It is a vacuum caused by social distancing that has brought them down. Burger King's menu is working out well. This company will continue to struggle over the next quarter or two.

SHORT

He has a small short because of poor valuation and price momentum. Trades at 21x EBIT to EBITDA, so pricey. Managers used too much debt and have damaged the brand with fighting with franchisees as managers tried to cut costs. Managers say they have mended some bridges. Overall, this is too pricey for a consumer stock.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Apr 11/19, Down 16%) Disappointing, but still owns it. It's a master franchisor. Two of its three chains is doing very well, namely Popeye's, but Tim Horton's is struggling. It changed leadership in January; their menu got too complex. He expects new managers to revive Horton's. Stick with it.

WAIT

He would be okay for the longer term as a hold, but it is a little expensive here. Tim Horton's is the largest segment and it is slowing. It will be a wait over the next couple of quarters he thinks.

BUY

We have seen a bit of a pullback but we are in the seasonal period for them. We are at a support level from a couple of years ago. They had a couple of operational issues on the Tim's side. He thinks it looks good from a technical perspective. Burger King is a well run company. (Analysts’ price target is $101.00)

COMMENT

Owns YUM! Brands instead. QSR has negative growth at Tim's. You want all your brands to have healthy growth. Pretty well run. Cost-cutting when they bought Tim's may have backfired. YUM has international exposure and strong performance of Taco Bell in the domestic market.

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BUY

He owns it, but it's his worst performer. But he likes the dividend, can pick away at this and add to his position. They plan to expand from 26,000 to 40,000 stores in a decade. They have 3% comparable sales growth and 5% net restaurant growth. Set yourself up to buy for the next move up.

STRONG BUY

He is buying hand over fist at this price and in front of the earnings release. Tims is most struggling as they simplify the items on their menu. Berger King is going like gang busters. Poppy's is crushing it with their reviews on social media.

COMMENT

There's support at $80. As long it remains above there, it should trend higher. It had a good start to 2019, but then pulled back 50%, which is normal. But watch out if it continues to decline. He himself needs to decide on his holding soon.

HOLD

Trading at discount to fair value. Trading 22x forward earnings, 12% earnings growth rate. Getting paid to wait. Middle class and urbanization will push discretionary spending. Tim's is struggling, but is going back to basics. Things will start to turn around soon. Yield is 3.2%.

DON'T BUY

They've been struggling because of weakness at Tim Horton's and Burger King. This will turn around. He's confident. Meanwhile, you're paid while you wait. A 10-15% rebound in the stock would interest him. He owns McDonald's in this space.

DON'T BUY

He looks for good price momentum, good valuation metrics, and a stock price is not volatile. This stock is in the middle on every metric. They are expensive based on current sales. The dividend looks safe. The challenge is that management is financial engineering their results and it is running out of room. He would need to see sales improve before becoming interested. Yield 3.2%

COMMENT

Domino's vs. QSR No idea which one will perform better going forward. But he bets that Domino's will expand from 16,000 worldwide stores to 25,000 in the next five years. The company projects 7-12% earnings growth. Pizza is a very good business. Domino's has smart managers. QSR will do fine, but he'd rather buy Starbucks or McDonald's.

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Restaurant Brands International (QSR.TO)