Pembina Pipeline CorpPPL.TOPARTIAL SELLMar 02, 2026Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of May 29, 2026. Market Open.
APO has pretty smart people, and they're seeing an opportunity here. Purchase was from KKR, so nothing much changes.
As for PPL itself, trading a bit expensive with growth catalysts of 5-7%. Nice, visible project backlog. Nice dividend. Wouldn't add here, but you'll do OK if you own it.
Still thinks KEY is the better buy.
PPL is more pure-play pipeline infrastructure. Better dividend yield. Contracted cashflow gives you earnings and revenue visibility. This would be his preference.
ALA gives you a mix of energy infrastructure (~45%) with regulated utilities (~55%). Utility component gives more stability, but lower dividend. He's not a huge fan of utilities unless they're tied to AI infrastructure buildout.
EPS of 78c topped the 74c estimate, while revenue of $1.91B fell short of the $2.11B forecast. EBITDA of $1.08B missed by 1.4% and declined 14%. Revenue dropped 11% and cash flow decreased 4.5%. Guidance was unchanged. Results were clearly mixed, but investors are forward-looking, and consensus projections call for roughly 10% growth this year. The stock remains appealing, particularly in a declining interest rate environment. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free
Is one of her largest holdings. The latest rally is great, though is down today on a downgrade based on valuation. Would buy it today. Maybe is fairly valued now. Was paying a 5.5% and now a 4.8% dividend which is sustainable. Gas volumes are rising. Take or pay contracts fund their dividend; they get paid regardless. Would own this forever. Reasonably valued today.
Likes Canada and likes energy. On the 5-year chart, you can see the consolidation phase in 2022-2023. We're seeing another consolidation phase now -- seems to want to break out. It's a pretty compelling setup. We're close to support, so he doesn't mind buying here. Good risk/reward ratio is compelling at these levels.
What differentiates his team from other analysts is that they know (or think they know) where the puck is going. They won't always be right, but at least they have a roadmap with risk control levels along the way. You get paid a dividend to wait. Yield is 5.25%.
Weighting is always a difficult thing. When you have a high-weight position and it works, it's great. Not so much when it doesn't work. Tough for him to comment without knowing an investor's particular situation, but this caller seems to know a lot about the company. That knowledge and insight help mitigate the risk when having a concentrated position. You have to know your stock well, otherwise you get hit by something.
Likes the name, doesn't own (but has in past). His preference in the space is ENB. But when you compare the two, PPL has a really strong growth profile and that's a really big positive. As for the valuation, it's quite reasonable. As is the payout ratio, so not a lot of dividend risk. Tends to trade at a bit of a discount relative to ENB because of its collection of midstream assets (not everything has the same contracted profile as an oil or gas pipeline).
Trades south of 10x cashflow. Well-protected dividend. Good growth. No problem owning this one at all.
Great operator. Might need to raise some equity fairly soon, as its recent acquisition will need to be financed. Recent downgrades. Good dividend yield. Good for a long-term investment.
Note: Owned by his colleague, Christine Poole.