Pembina Pipeline CorpPPL.TODON'T BUYJan 05, 2015Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 10, 2026. Market Open.
APO has pretty smart people, and they're seeing an opportunity here. Purchase was from KKR, so nothing much changes.
As for PPL itself, trading a bit expensive with growth catalysts of 5-7%. Nice, visible project backlog. Nice dividend. Wouldn't add here, but you'll do OK if you own it.
Still thinks KEY is the better buy.
PPL is more pure-play pipeline infrastructure. Better dividend yield. Contracted cashflow gives you earnings and revenue visibility. This would be his preference.
ALA gives you a mix of energy infrastructure (~45%) with regulated utilities (~55%). Utility component gives more stability, but lower dividend. He's not a huge fan of utilities unless they're tied to AI infrastructure buildout.
EPS of 78c topped the 74c estimate, while revenue of $1.91B fell short of the $2.11B forecast. EBITDA of $1.08B missed by 1.4% and declined 14%. Revenue dropped 11% and cash flow decreased 4.5%. Guidance was unchanged. Results were clearly mixed, but investors are forward-looking, and consensus projections call for roughly 10% growth this year. The stock remains appealing, particularly in a declining interest rate environment. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free
Is one of her largest holdings. The latest rally is great, though is down today on a downgrade based on valuation. Would buy it today. Maybe is fairly valued now. Was paying a 5.5% and now a 4.8% dividend which is sustainable. Gas volumes are rising. Take or pay contracts fund their dividend; they get paid regardless. Would own this forever. Reasonably valued today.
Likes Canada and likes energy. On the 5-year chart, you can see the consolidation phase in 2022-2023. We're seeing another consolidation phase now -- seems to want to break out. It's a pretty compelling setup. We're close to support, so he doesn't mind buying here. Good risk/reward ratio is compelling at these levels.
What differentiates his team from other analysts is that they know (or think they know) where the puck is going. They won't always be right, but at least they have a roadmap with risk control levels along the way. You get paid a dividend to wait. Yield is 5.25%.
This is kind of a 2 edged sword. They have a nice dividend yield. Also, the stock has set back, pretty much to some good technical support from his perspective. Negatively, like all Canadian pipeline companies, it is selling at, or marginally above its FMV. Looking at the long historical sweep of the valuations, none of these pipeline companies are cheap. Because he thinks investors will continue to place a premium on income, the stock may well hold up. He would not initiate a position in this or any of the pipelines.