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TSE:PONY
The most likely Nat gas take-out candidate for 2013. Well results have been better than what progress had. It trades at a significant to their proven and probable reserves. This is a name you have to be a long term hold of. You could see $17-$20 if you think Nat gas could go to $4.50+. Buy if you are a long term holder.
A call on natural gas and West Coast LNG. This is the most likely take out candidate for 2013. Very much a one-year call. Expect there is a 50%-100% upside from today from $10. They were neighbouring Progress Energy that was taken out at a tremendous premium. There was a 2nd bidder so there is someone with $6 billion cash burning a hole in their pocket that needs feedstock for LNG. Baseline value for him is their 2 P reserve value (Proven + Probable), roughly $14.50.
If you take this one strictly on a cash flow point of view, it appears a little expensive but she continues to be a big fan. Not only do they have some nice oil in the Bakken but they have really expanded and have a lot of natural gas in BC and lands close to where Progress is. (Being taken over by Petronus.)
Had a short position and has covered that. He is neutral on the name; believes it is a take-over candidate.