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TSE:PONY

Painted Pony Energy (PONY.TO)

0.69
-0.00 (0.00%)
as of Oct 8, 2020, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
103 watching
0
HOLD

Had a short position and has covered that. He is neutral on the name; believes it is a take-over candidate.

BUY

The most likely Nat gas take-out candidate for 2013. Well results have been better than what progress had. It trades at a significant to their proven and probable reserves. This is a name you have to be a long term hold of. You could see $17-$20 if you think Nat gas could go to $4.50+. Buy if you are a long term holder.

BUY

Good management team and low cost operator. Have a large acreage position in the Montney trend right where Progress was (which was acquired) and a lot of people are thinking this is potentially a takeover candidate.

TOP PICK

A call on natural gas and West Coast LNG. This is the most likely take out candidate for 2013. Very much a one-year call. Expect there is a 50%-100% upside from today from $10. They were neighbouring Progress Energy that was taken out at a tremendous premium. There was a 2nd bidder so there is someone with $6 billion cash burning a hole in their pocket that needs feedstock for LNG. Baseline value for him is their 2 P reserve value (Proven + Probable), roughly $14.50.

BUY

If you take this one strictly on a cash flow point of view, it appears a little expensive but she continues to be a big fan. Not only do they have some nice oil in the Bakken but they have really expanded and have a lot of natural gas in BC and lands close to where Progress is. (Being taken over by Petronus.)

BUY

Significant land base in northern BC. Gas weighted. The value of their land position and their assets and the potential that they will get, over time, LNG shipments to gas markets, he thinks it is a very good long-term play.

BUY

Likes it quite a bit. Lots of land and production, northeast BC. Since Progress Energy is in the process of being taken over, this company will benefit extremely.

BUY

When you see the take-out of Progress, this one has had quite a run also. This one could be taken out at $14-$18. He likes the management team. Production was not as good as be expected but he thinks it will still cash flow quite a bit.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

(Market Call Minute.) Speculative at the moment. Let it go down a bit because people think it is a takeout.

TOP PICK
Have a very well situated asset, in close proximity to Progress Energy asset (which was taken out) and there is a pipeline that goes right through their property towards Kitimat so that when the LNG export abilities come closer, their asset base will be highly sought after. About 30% of assets are in oil.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Aug 16/11. Down 36.16%.) This suffered on the natural gas weakness. Recently had a bit of an uptick because Progress Energy was acquired at the end of June. This company has the most acreage offsetting Progress.
PARTIAL BUY
Has risks because it is a somewhat smaller company. Thinks the fundamentals are pretty strong. Likes its oil weighting. Doesn't have funding or balance sheet issues.
DON'T BUY
Mixed feelings on this name. Holds management in high regard. No debt. Execute well. If he was going to own a gas company, this would be the one he would own.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick June 8/11. Down 40.38%.) Good liquefied natural gas prospects. Fundamentally, the company has gotten stronger. Impeccable balance sheet. Still have cash. Have a highly strategic asset in northern BC. Still a Hold.
DON'T BUY
(Market Call Minute.) Too much gas exposure for this market.
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