Petro-Canada (PCA.TO)

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Sept 1/05. Down 1.2%.) They may have sorted themselves out finally. Some of their basic assets are starting to kick in. Seemed to have got their costs under control. One of the better integrateds with a better multiple. Still buying.
DON'T BUY
Among the cheaper oil plays, but it has had execution problems. Will be reporting shortly, and expects the earnings will be a little disappointing. Prefers others.
BUY
A fabulous company. Always seems to be undervalued. With the weakness here, this would be a good time to get in. A core holding. Well balanced, well diversified.
DON'T BUY
Now is not the right time to be buying large cap energy stocks. He is not seeing the fundamentals in the industry that would be pushing towards higher prices.
BUY
Over the next 15 months, they have a good increasing production profile.
BUY ON WEAKNESS
His model price is $70.38. What you have to pay attention to is, as record earnings are coming onto the balance sheets, the balance sheets are growing which make the stocks cheaper over time. A positive 49% differential. Would be a great buy at $42.30.
WAIT
Although it is a little early for seasonality, you might see base for a while and then see it go. Energy runs from the end of November to the end of May.
BUY
With the pullback in oils, this would be a good time to get in. You get some growth. This is integrated as well. Decent balance sheet.
BUY
Directly correlated to the price of oil. This is the cheapest of the majors. Once the potential of their oil sands and their off shore is recognised, it should take off.
BUY
Haven't been carrying through as effectively as he would like, but still a good long-term investment.
DON'T BUY
Like all oil stocks, will suffer if oil goes down, but will suffer less than some of the smaller caps. Prefers Suncor (SU-T) as a core holding in the oil sands industry. Can’t see where growth will come from in 2/3 years down the road.
BUY
If there is strengthening in the price of crude oil, there is no reason why it couldn't be back towards its old high.
HOLD
This is the cheapest oil stock. The company has great assets and great operations. It is down because of the cost of oil. If you own this stock hold onto it, don't sell.
DON'T BUY
Higher oil prices are needed for this stock to do well.
BUY
Excellent buy at this price. He is a long time holder and buyer of this stock.
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