
NASDAQ:NVDA
This summary was created by AI, based on 114 opinions in the last 12 months.
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) remains a highly discussed stock among experts, with a primary focus on its position as a leader in the AI chip market. Analysts praise the company's robust revenue growth, strong cash flow, and substantial share buyback programs, viewing it as a long-term investment despite concerns about competition and future margin pressures. The consensus reflects a bullish sentiment, underscoring a projected earnings growth rate that remains impressive over the next few years. Many experts highlight the potential risks associated with cyclicality in the semiconductor industry and emerging competitors, yet they primarily view NVIDIA as a vital player in the ongoing AI revolution. Overall, while some caution against current valuations, the company's fundamentals suggest sustained demand for its products, making it a focus of interest for investors looking toward future advancements in AI technology.
It's the most expensive stock now at 40x trailing 12-month sales. Yes, the stock is higher this year, but the fundamentals have made a quantum leap forward. If they execute, the price will be justified. But he can't say to jump into right now. The opportunity is in data centres; they had 6% of it and will probably get 30%. But they have to deliver.
He reiterates his long-term faith in Nvidia, which he has owned a long time. No, he won't advise on whether to buy or not before NVDA announces its next quarter. He's not a trader and no longer a hedge-fund manager. He buys long-term if he believes in a company. He will look at the results of the quarter, but will also see if the underlying fundamentals remain strong. If you can't handle the volatility, don't own this name. No one comes close to Nvidia in AI.
TSM makes the chips, whereas NVDA designs them. Semiconductors have become very political between China and the US.
TSM is going to have large capex over the next little while, as they build new plants. A great business over the last several years. Issues are more political. Incredibly well run. Largest foundry in the world.
NVDA has been in the sweet spot of semis. Has done very well, especially AI products. In high demand, leading edge. Earnings come out soon. Run up a lot. Wait for a pullback.
She bought more Nvidia. She loves earning season. What she learned from conference calls from Microsoft, Meta et al is that they're building a ton in AI capex. She doesn't know which companies will monetize at this point, except Nvidia. All roads lead to Nvidia. She's confident that they will report a backlog next month and will raise guidance.
On fire. AI frenzy has pushed these stocks on price and valuation. Trades at 45x trailing price to sales, 23.6x forward price to sales. Growing quickly, future looks bright, but the valuation is unheard of. There's momentum, so you can hold, but keep an eye on it. He'd prefer names with similar growth rates, but much better valuation. See his Top Picks.
Whether to buy now is a tough question, but he's been adding recently. Great story. Dominant in GPU space, and you need GPUs for AI. Earnings quarter was one of the best he's ever seen, yet still earnings growth estimates got ratcheted up. Valuation is reasonable given EPS growth rate of over 40%.
Growth is certainly impressive, but valuation is very high as well. The main risk we see is that customers are 'double ordering' as they are worried about supply issues (similar to what happened in many industries during the pandemic). Thus, if this is occurring now, growth could slow, perhaps sharply, in 18 months or so. But, with 70% of the global AI-chip market, business is good and growth is quite secure for the next 12 months at least. All the companies spending money on AI will have to see a return on their investments one day, but even so the high spend rate could still last several years. So we have a global leader, with excellent momentum, and accelerating (for now) growth. Other than valuation, it still looks very impressive. We have probably made more money buying 'expensive' stocks than we have ever made buying 'cheap' stocks, and we would continue to endorse NVDA as one of the best high-growth stocks globally. But..it is not risk-free! So we would position size accordingly.
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