
NASDAQ:NVDA
The momentum and revenue growth still looks strong. However after next year look at the environment for semi-conductors. AMD and Intel may get into the AI market and three of Nvidia's customers could start making their own AI chips. There is also a semi-conductor boom going on in China. Lots of possible competition could lead to a glut of semi-conductors in 2 or 3 years. It also specializes in making software. Nvidia has lost 50% of its value twice in the past 6 years and this could happen again.
The question was on what is a a good strategy to follow when considering buying a stock like this that has gone up a lot and you have missed the run-up. He feels that it doesn't matter what the percentage increase is when deciding whether to buy a stock. The question is whether it is going to correct now. You use technical analysis to decide whether a stock goes up, goes down, or stays the same. We are in a two week wiggle time period with stocks due to tax loss selling and there is no rush to buy anything now. You could look for 10 to12% downturn from here.
Would recommend buying stock, but difficult to predict valuation of business. Thinks there is froth in the stock right now with very high valuation. Expecting growth going forward. Demand for chips not going away. If able to hold for long period, would be a good buy. If a short term investor, would not buy at this time.
It's in a league of its own, but there was a big concern where the semis would have excess inventories. It comes down to execution in the face of lower demand and a slower economy. Going into 2024, look at what Nvidia will align with, such as data centres, the number of which will likely decline. The semis space won't see a rising tide lifting all boats, despite a secular tailwind.
Stock chart has been doing very well. Worried that stock price is heading towards resistance. Sideways performance might happen. Would recommend taking a small position. Could have higher highs.