
NASDAQ:MU
This summary was created by AI, based on 59 opinions in the last 12 months.
Micron Technology (MU-Q) is a company that has experienced significant volatility, with experts offering mixed views on its prospects. Several analysts note that while the company has benefited from a current memory chip shortage and strong demand driven by AI and data centers, the stock's substantial increase in value this year raises concerns about its sustainability. Some experts warn investors to consider reducing their positions or selling, citing potential future supply gluts and increasing competition. In contrast, a few analysts maintain that long-term demand for memory will be bolstered by the evolution of AI technology, pointing to historical strength in the company's performance. Overall, the stock's present valuation and future trajectory remain highly debated among experts, with warnings about its speculative nature.
Stock's done extremely well. Now let's zoom out a bit. There's a current shift in where profit pools are. Memory has done REALLY well because there's a huge shortage.
Not a long-term hold. It's known as a "deep cyclical" -- times you make $100 per share, and times you lose $$. This memory shortage is more structural in nature, so at $330 it's worth holding on to. Hold for years 1 and 2 of profitability, but in year 3 market will be anticipating year 4 of potentially negative earnings.
He bought this in late October at $223 (doubled since), based on triple-digit revenue and earnings gains, because DRAM pricing continues to rise. Eventually, this pricing will moderate, but when it levels, trouble usually follows. Don't be overweight this as the price approaches $500. He expects a strong report today. He wants to hear them talk about the potential competition from Samsung and others.
Great time to pick it up, though it would be nice if you could get it a little lower. Buy 1/3 here, another around $325, and under $300 would be a bargain. He bought a bit this morning around the $380 level.
Historically cyclical, but AI revolution has taken demand beyond the boom-and-bust cycle. Latest report blew the doors off. Some analysts have targets of $500-550.
The valuation is too high. Is up 362% in one year. A good company. Trades at 41x PE. Analysts expect earnings to increase 500% in 3 years. He thinks earnings will be more than revenues are today. But it's risky. One earnings miss will hurt Micron and the whole sector. If you've owned this for 3 years, take profits.
This can keep rallying because there's endless demand from the data centre companies and not enough supply. He targets $1,000. It remains cheap on a PE basis, now only 6x PE.