
NASDAQ:MSFT
This summary was created by AI, based on 128 opinions in the last 12 months.
Microsoft Corp (MSFT) is currently viewed as a robust and versatile organization, harnessing its significant cloud infrastructure (Azure) and productivity software to drive growth and shareholder value. Despite its challenges, particularly with AI integrations and pressures on its software segments, MSFT has demonstrated remarkable resilience with cash flow positivity and strategic spending. There is a mixed sentiment about its Co-Pilot AI functionality, with some experts highlighting its improvement while others remain skeptical about its long-term impact. With an impressive clutch of products and services like LinkedIn, Teams, and Office, the company's balance sheet is solid, allowing for continued investment in future technologies. While experts express concerns regarding high capital expenditures and competition in the AI space, many believe that MSFT's extensive ecosystem will support its continued market share and growth trajectory moving forward.
This is on a momentum run, no longer on a valuation run. For the past 10 years, its earnings and FMV have nicely contained the stock price on the upside. However, in this market, some of these companies are now breaking out and going above where they ought to be. On this company, technically he can give you another 10% on the upside comfortably. After that it would come under the heading of Holy Smokes, where do you think you're going.
(A Top Pick May 15/17. Up 32%.) Struggled for about 10 years, and then started turning in 2009-2010. They've restructured and jumped on the web business, and things have gone well ever since. Business is accelerating now and it is growing faster than a lot of their historical business models. Still has about a 6% free cash flow yield, that is very attractive for a software company. It’s still undervalued and has another 10%-20% to go.
Under the new CEO, the company has been turned around. They’ve entered into the Cloud computing business, and with their domination of small businesses, which is moving into the Cloud, this is the natural one to go for. Thinks it can go through $100. Dividend yield of 1.9%. (Analysts' price target is $94.)
IBM (IBM-N) or Microsoft (MSFT-Q)? Doesn't own either, but of the 2, this is the safer name to own. They are much deeper into their turnaround. Their theme has been Cloud, Cloud, Cloud. There is major growth in the Cloud, and it is the way of the future. 96% of their cash is offshore, so they stand to benefit from returning cash back to the US.
In many ways, this has gone through a process where it grew up with a monopoly business. Every time you wanted to use a computer, you effectively had to pay this company. Then they branched into other markets where they don't really have that monopoly structure in pricing, and the margins have come down over time. This is a growth business and has a ton of cash. If you are buying as a longer-term dividend play, it's OK here. It's a little rich and he would like to see it correct a little lower. An interesting play.
Tech stocks are all down today. It was interesting to note that MA-N is also down today as they are also a tech company. We are seeing a rotation out of tech into financials, and resources. This part of the Trump tax cut. This is short term noise. These companies have tremendous franchises. This is an appropriate place to wade in. They are a tremendously run company.
The Cloud theme they embarked on is accelerating. Azure grew 90% in the most recent quarter. It’s a $20 billion business today in a $200 billion market that is growing. They have the enterprise customers, and have shown they can get them. They invested up front for the infrastructure and the margins get better. Their margins went up by 8% in the quarter. Subscription software is growing very, very nicely. These businesses will grow whether or not the economy grows. It is inexpensive. Dividend yield of 2%. (Analysts’ price target is $92.)
Chart shows this is moving in a tight upwards channel. When this happens and then breaks out, the tendency is for it to go back to the tight channel. This particular one looks like a case of being overbought. The RSI is 80 indicating it is overbought. If you own, trim some.