
TSE:MFC
Feels this name was under owned for a long time. Thinks it continues to go higher over time. Earnings have been improving. Story has been improving. Last quarter they had lower new business strain, meaning lower costs. Have been controlling their expenses and are more efficient. Ultimately, it is a call on where interest rates are going and where equity markets are going. He feels that over time, both of them will go higher.
Has been recovering after the catastrophe of 2008-2009. Had a great run, but it hit his initial target of about $18 and has been setting back ever since. Has a downside target of about $15 where it would hit some good solid support and he would be interested in coming back to the stock at that time.
Over the last while, they have made progress but they were in a pretty deep hole. Feels there was a lot of speculative money that went into to the stock. On a multiple basis, it looks very expensive. Have some opportunities in the Orient, but there are risks attached to that. Yield is not that exciting. He would prefer Power Financial (PWF-T) or Sun Life (SLF-T) instead. If looking for yield, you could probably get a lot more out of bank stocks with a lot less risk.
Hedged their interest-rate risks, as well as the equity risks to a large extent. It had a run when interest rates went up a bit but that is probably in the stock now. From here on he considers it a “show me” stock in that they have to grow their core business again. It is really what they do in Asia, which is a long-term project.
The bond market won’t be favourable. Stock markets will be favourable but they hedged away some of the risk. The business is doing well as they get into China and India. Don’t rush in if you think there is a market correction coming.