Manulife Financial (MFC.TO)

If we see stock markets moving higher and interest rates moving moderately higher, that is a good catalyst for the share price. In addition, the fundamental business is going well, particularly in Asia. If you have a 3-5 year view, this could be a core holding to have. He would like to see it pull back a bit before buying.

Lifecos had a big run up in 2013. A lot of that was multiple driven. We are now experiencing some earnings growth, but there is a bit of a consolidation taking place as 2014 earnings have to catch up with the multiple. It probably will because we have a good environment and interest rates are moving up. He is lukewarm on this and is in the “show me” state. Wants to see those earnings because if he doesn’t, it has run ahead of its multiples.

Bonds. Have performed particularly well for two reasons. Credit spreads tightened and Interest rates are stable. He would not hold bonds with more than 5 years duration. Lifecos perform better in rising rate environments. He wouldn’t put any equities into his portfolio.

They have taken a lot of leverage out of it. From a technical perspective, we see a descending triangle taking place (bearish). Just finished the end of the seasonal period and he sees declining interest rates which are not good. A break down below $19 would show weakness form a technical perspective.

All insurance companies have done well with the falling Cdn$ and the improvement in stock markets. Basically insurance companies have to invest in GICs or bonds so if we get the Cdn$ moving down, it is a bonus for them. Dividend yield of 3.54%.

Believes it has pretty nice legs here as well. Could flip flop between this and SLF. Multiple is not screaming risky to him.

Hit $22 in January, but is now hovering around $20, which is not an insignificant correction. Has to do with the market and the underlying returns with some of their portfolios. Their international business is still quite small. They are having a little bit of difficulty with perception, but this is one you want to pick up right here at this price.

Earnings were good and there is a lot of growth in Asia. This is a longer-term beneficiary of higher rates. Their capital ratio is getting up above the upper end so he expects a dividend increase in January 2015. $24 in one year.

Canadian banks are cheaper than lifecos. Can increase dividend more and are well capitalized. MFC have a great Asian franchise. They could have some strong growth there.

Would benefit from a rise in rates. You aren’t looking at a dramatic rise in interest rates. Wait for the earnings to come out and see what you get. Under $20 is a great entry point and you just might see that.

Lifecos will be helped by rising interest rates. MFC is one of the better bets.

Thinks they will increase their dividend over the next year or two. Cheap multiple compared to historical rates. Management is doing all the right things. They haven’t done much this year because the yield curve has been coming down. If it normalizes, this could be a double.

The worst is over for this company. Earnings rebounded this year and he is looking at double digit earnings growth for 2015. To him, that means we are going to start seeing the dividend increasing again. They are suddenly doing everything right. Have a great global presence. Their whole hedging strategy, which caused them problems, has been well thought out and cleaned up. Dividend yield of 2.5%.

Already significantly reflecting forward revenue from increased interest rates. If it pulled back to recent support, it would be more of a topping pattern for this one.

In a recovery phase and thinks it is fully priced. One of his concerns is that they have a lot of eggs in the Chinese basket. Things over there are looking at little bit on the dicey side and you are never quite sure what the government is going to do. Has a pretty reasonable dividend. Prefers Power Financial (PWF-T) which has Great West Life (GWO-T) or you could choose one of the other like companies that has a good yield. Not a bad part of anybody’s portfolio to have an insurance company.