
TSE:MFC
This summary was created by AI, based on 28 opinions in the last 12 months.
Experts hold a mixed view on Manulife Financial (MFC), reflecting both cautious optimism and concerns over its growth prospects. Many analysts recognize the company's strong performance in Asian markets and wealth management, noting its potential for steady income through dividends, with several projecting double-digit growth. However, there are reservations regarding the current valuation, with some analysts suggesting a wait for market pullbacks before purchasing. Despite recent underperformance relative to peers and profit-taking activities, MFC is still viewed as a reliable long-term investment, especially for dividend-seeking investors. Concerns about broader market conditions and legacy business challenges persist, but the company's fundamentals appear solid.
Doesn't own any of the lifecos. This name struggled for quite a while, but then broke out on strategic repositioning by previous CEO. Changes have driven robust EPS growth. Businesses include Canada, US, wealth and asset management, and Asia (a faster secular grower).
Now trades at premium to banks. Re-rating has largely played out. But if it can continue to grow earnings at high-single or low-double digits, plus dividend yield of ~3.something%, you have a pretty good line to a double-digit total shareholder return. He'd continue to hold.
Sometimes things happen in mysterious ways. Remember that the last price is set by the last buyer; the price you see on the screen is the price where 2 people most recently transacted. That doesn't tell you much about the future of the company or anything else.
Firstly, people have long memories. MFC hurt people so badly in the past, there are some people who just won't come back. His firm tries to be patient, seeing the future of companies when other investors are mad or unwilling. Also, stock has to digest its big move (most of which was last year). He's owned since $20, and is happy with where it is. Finally, most of the money in financials is flowing to banks.
Has performed extremely well. Doesn't disagree with the caller that stock could be $60. But something has to change to capture the attention of investors; for example, if PCLs for banks move up next year, $$ might rotate out and over to insurance.
Earnings quality still improving, though last quarter showed some negatives in the US. Acquiring Comvest, a private asset management platform, which should be nicely accretive. At 7.5%, not same EPS growth as a year ago. Trades at 9.8x versus peers, 45% payout ratio. Nice dividend, which will have some nice growth.
In general, insurance companies are a better buy than the banks right now.
Stock's been flat and stuck at these levels for the last little while. There may have been a downgrade yesterday. Thinks it's undervalued. Great dividend yield, dividend should remain steady and increase. Steady growth company; sees ~8% going into the next few years. Price-to-book is 1.6x, fairly cheap relative to some peers.
Wait and see. Market's hesitant to push it to new heights. If you forget about the last few months, 200-day MA is still trending higher thought flattening a bit. Stock price is below that now, but it's done that before and moved up again. Getting paid to wait.
Doesn't believe Asian exposure is affected by US-China issues. Would only be affected secondarily if economy started to slow and people had less money in general.
Nice recent beat. Still has momentum in Asia. Wealth management earnings were up 8%, even after the $43M charge on California wildfires. At 9.7x PE for 2026, still cheaper than Canadian banks and than SLF and GWO. Reasonable 10% growth rate. Lowest payout ratio among peers. Another "when", not "if", story. Yield is 4.02%, with nice growth.
Funnily enough, life insurance companies actually do well in a lower interest rate environment. Plus, it has financial planning and investment divisions. A good non-bank alternative. Should continue to do well -- partly due to lower interest rates, partly due to stock market continuing to do well.
In his value/momentum strategy.