
TSE:MFC
This summary was created by AI, based on 27 opinions in the last 12 months.
Manulife Financial (MFC) has garnered a mostly positive outlook among various experts, highlighting its competitive positioning within the Canadian financial sector, particularly in comparison to major banks like TD and SLF. Analysts note MFC's ongoing strength in wealth management and healthy growth prospects in Asia, although there are concerns regarding its current valuation, as it trades over 2x book value and exhibits only moderate earnings growth. Despite being classified as slightly overbought, its charts remain healthy, with many recommending caution yet seeing potential for growth in the long run. The company's strong dividend yield and management strategies, particularly in alternative investments, also contribute to a favorable long-term investment story, although short-term volatility may present opportunities for those willing to enter at lower price points.
Lifecos traditionally trade at a discount to the Canadian banks. Why? It has to do with growth. Insurance is a mature market. This type of business doesn't deserve a 15x PE, especially the interest-rate risk you take on with an insurance company. To grow, MFC has a more Asian-centred business. In Asia it needs to partner with a local company, and the profit's a lot different than with a 100%-controlled subsidiary.
Pays out significant portion of earnings in dividends, so it's more an income stock than a growth stock. Valuation is fair. If you want income, can't go wrong here.
Funnily enough, life insurance companies actually do well in a lower interest rate environment. Plus, it has financial planning and investment divisions. A good non-bank alternative. Should continue to do well -- partly due to lower interest rates, partly due to stock market continuing to do well.
In his value/momentum strategy.
Doesn't own any of the lifecos. This name struggled for quite a while, but then broke out on strategic repositioning by previous CEO. Changes have driven robust EPS growth. Businesses include Canada, US, wealth and asset management, and Asia (a faster secular grower).
Now trades at premium to banks. Re-rating has largely played out. But if it can continue to grow earnings at high-single or low-double digits, plus dividend yield of ~3.something%, you have a pretty good line to a double-digit total shareholder return. He'd continue to hold.
Sometimes things happen in mysterious ways. Remember that the last price is set by the last buyer; the price you see on the screen is the price where 2 people most recently transacted. That doesn't tell you much about the future of the company or anything else.
Firstly, people have long memories. MFC hurt people so badly in the past, there are some people who just won't come back. His firm tries to be patient, seeing the future of companies when other investors are mad or unwilling. Also, stock has to digest its big move (most of which was last year). He's owned since $20, and is happy with where it is. Finally, most of the money in financials is flowing to banks.
Has performed extremely well. Doesn't disagree with the caller that stock could be $60. But something has to change to capture the attention of investors; for example, if PCLs for banks move up next year, $$ might rotate out and over to insurance.
Earnings quality still improving, though last quarter showed some negatives in the US. Acquiring Comvest, a private asset management platform, which should be nicely accretive. At 7.5%, not same EPS growth as a year ago. Trades at 9.8x versus peers, 45% payout ratio. Nice dividend, which will have some nice growth.
In general, insurance companies are a better buy than the banks right now.
Stock's been flat and stuck at these levels for the last little while. There may have been a downgrade yesterday. Thinks it's undervalued. Great dividend yield, dividend should remain steady and increase. Steady growth company; sees ~8% going into the next few years. Price-to-book is 1.6x, fairly cheap relative to some peers.
Wait and see. Market's hesitant to push it to new heights. If you forget about the last few months, 200-day MA is still trending higher thought flattening a bit. Stock price is below that now, but it's done that before and moved up again. Getting paid to wait.
Well done, usually good to take advantage of short-term panics.
This name has turned the corner. Good dividend yield. Higher rates let it get better returns on its bond portfolio. Good job growing its business. Reasonable valuation. Less exposed to worries of credit quality. Good long-term investment.