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TSE:MAXR

Maxar Technologies (MAXR.TO)

70.54
-0.34 (0.48%)
as of May 8, 2023, 7:59:55 pm Market Open.
145 watching
0
TOP PICK
5 times forward earnings. They did an acquisition and took on some debt and got bad press. (Analysts’ price target is $39.57)
DON'T BUY
Today hit an all-time low. Some believe they will turn around, but their debt is too challenging. He won't buy until they have solved their financial problems--waiting for the upside.
SELL
They have fallen on hard times. They have deals on the table, but no guarantees, and the margins are thin in this business. This trades at a cheap multiple though at 5x forward earnings and 2x cash flow. They have to close deals and get wider margins. A tax-loss sell.
TOP PICK
Made a smart acquisition, bringing in U.S. management and U.S. army contracts. Cheap valuation, but the street was worried they couldn't pay off their debt fast enough. A short-selling hedge fund published a negative report, so MAXR sold off. Their great cash generation will pay down theirdebt. Industries need data shot from outer space, which MAXR supplies. (Analysts’ price target is $38.85)
BUY
Seasonally: Dec.12-May 9, so typical strength is coming. But it's had a parabolic decline, far below its 200-day moving average. He expects that investors will sell between $25-35, because the stock fell so sharply recently and those investors didn't have a chance to sell. It's a buying opportunity now.
DON'T BUY
He owned this earlier this year. The prospects looked okay, but then issues arose and he moved to the sidelines to wait.
DON'T BUY

One of the battle ground stocks this year. They made an acquisition that might have saved their business. Overall a good business, big government contracts. Nobody is building and sending 500 million dollar satellites. Now they are putting up smaller maybe 50 million dollars satellites and that is affecting their revenues. Lots of challenges to the name. In the meantime, the name is being kicked around. There is a big short seller affecting the stock.

PAST TOP PICK

(Past Top Pick March 27, 2018, Down 26%) Frustrating. It looked promising until a short report was issued and this stock got crushed. Maxar battled that report. Still, investors are on the sidelines. This stock is ridiculously cheap.

TOP PICK

It's been hammered but he's sticking with it. The Digital Globe purchases added risk to the balance sheet, but he thinks that will generate a lot of free cash flow and pay down the debt. At 8x forward earnings. They're building a digital satellite system now. Data from outer space will feed a need for this information. (3.5% dividend, Analysts' price target: $78.32)

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick July 20/17, Down 25%) It is a global communications and surveillance business. He has a target of $80 and it was time to go at that point. It is now headquartered in the US. They drew the attention of short sellers: Allegations of accounting irregularities; management resigned days before an investor day. You need to make sure the short interest is gone before investing.

COMMENT

They make communication satellites. Orders are big but are few and far between. When the company gets orders, there’s a lot of excitement in the stock and when it doesn’t get them, there’s a lot of disappointment but there’s also a possibility of cost overruns. This is a very volatile business (and stock). He owns some on the possibility that it will bounce back to $70 but he considers this high risk. Dividend is 3.23% but volatility can wipe this out. The stock is down over 40% this year because of disappointment from the conference call which included postponement of orders.

COMMENT

He likes it, but it's been painful for him. The market hasn't liked their debt. Also, U.S. shorts are hurting this stock which he thinks is unfair and allegations are untrue (from Spruce Point). A good earnings report and some cash flow will revive this
stock.

SELL

Was going to buy it before the report came out. When short sellers start talking about accounting irregularities, that is a situation you want to avoid. If you own it, it is a tough one. Too much risk and too much uncertainty. (Analysts’ price target is $81.42)

COMMENT

He's been watching it since it's broken down since the spring. It's bottoming now, partly due to a short report last week. Lately, it's been clustering around $46.

COMMENT

This is the old MacDonald Detweiller. The company made an acquisition of an imaging company. They have a new CEO. There is a short report out on this stock based on the amount of debt, concerns about the new CEO, and some accounting issues. The company has yet to respond to the short report.

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