
NYSE:GS
Trading at only 12x earnings. While other Wall St. banks have reduced traded derivatives, Goldman hasn't. A huge opportunity. Margins will increase in this area, because of less competition. The number-one investment bank in the world, benefitting huge from European M&A. Expects 50% earnings growth in three years. (Analysts' price target $270.63)
The banking industry as a whole is cheap. This is a very special company. Not expensive. Trading at 1.2X Book. Their "fixed business", such as fixed income, interest rates and commodity business, uses a lot of capital. They are one of the few companies that didn't slim down. That’s hurt them in the last several quarters. However, looking at any kind of metric in investment banking, they are amongst the top 5 where you have to be to make a lot of money. A very premier name and continues to have a lot of cache in it. Very low dividend yield of 1.3%.
(A Top Pick Dec 19/16. Up 9%.) He likes the US financials, but has moved away from this in favour of Morgan Stanley (MS-N). Didn't feel it was executing as well as it should have been. Trading volumes have been low, and he wanted to move more towards the retail opportunity in addition to capital markets.
(A Top Pick Aug 8/16. Up 47%.) All global investment banks are benefiting as interest rates start to rise. This one has done what almost no one else has done, which is not reducing exposure to the riskier trading parts of the business. Their global footprint is almost 2nd to none today. They have good exposure in Europe, whose economy is slowly recovering.
He likes this. It is not expensive and pays a decent dividend. A couple of things have happened that has hurt. Other companies cut back on fixed income, currency and commodity (FCC) side of the business because it is a very highly intensive capital business from a regulatory point of view. Goldman decided not to do that as much. They are still #1 in cash equities, etc.
(A Top Pick Aug 8/16. Up 34.44%.) This has something unique. While almost every other major global investment bank has reduced its trading exposure, this one hasn’t. Therefore, competition has fallen off dramatically. Margins in trading and related businesses, are expanding dramatically. The only major US global bank that has fewer shares outstanding than they did before the financial crisis. This is still a buy.
(A Top Pick June 9/17. Down 1.22%.) This is taking it on the chin a little as the 10-year treasury moved back down to under 2.1%, but that is the low point of 2017. These things are cyclical and eventually interest rates will pop up, and a company like this will follow suit. It will rebound once financial stocks start to move up again.
They have gone full throttle in the riskier business of trading derivatives. They are the only one of the big banks going full throttle. They have fewer shares outstanding than before the financial crisis.