
NASDAQ:GOOG
The leading search engine company, and is really about online advertising. This garners a huge share of the search traffic. On online advertising, on a global basis, only about 35% is allocated within the overall budget, so she thinks there is good growth opportunity going forward and Google will garner a high share of that.
Amazon (AMZN-Q) or Google (GOOGL-Q)? A tough one. It is the battle of the Titans. He would own both. He likes to buy companies that are disruptors and the change industries, and both of these have clearly done that. You could also buy the ETF (PNQI-Q) which is an Internet-based ETF giving you a basket, or FDN-N, the retail ETF.
Technology comes into a period of seasonal strength from April all the way through to July. These companies all tend to have a run up higher into their developer conferences. This one’s conference is May 18-May 20. The seasonal strength is between March and July, and the average gain is about 17%, and has been positive in 9 out of the 11 periods. The technicals are still quite positive on this.
They own Search and are monetizing exceptionally well. Margins are starting to come higher. They are getting the earnings growth that they have wanted for a long time. Generating free cash flow and redeploying it into very strong acquisitions. On top of that, they own the best and one of the largest operating systems in the world, the Android Operating system. They are giving this away for free right now, but at some time they will monetize this.
GOOGL-Q is a core holding. It is doing better than it had been because they are not spending as much money as they had. They have three things going. They are closing the gap between ads they can sell on desktops vs. mobile. Their expense growth is continuing to moderate and they are seeing increasing business from Googleplay and YouTube. 21 times earnings and bottom line growth of 17%.
Valuation looks very attractive relative to other growth oriented technology companies. Trading at 21X forward earnings with a 16% long-term growth rate. Has a 1.3X PEG ratio, which is very cheap in the S&P 500. They control 73% of the search engine space in the US, and over 50% of the global search ad revenue. Those things are going to grow organically. The new CFO is doing a lot of great things to help with transparency. Down 9%-10% year to date, which is a pretty good buying opportunity.
Google is responsible for 64% of all searches done on the Internet. As traffic grows on the Internet they continue to benefit. They are in the middle of the shift in the spending in media and are getting the lion’s share of the revenue for advertizing. Its revenue is accelerating and their margins are improving. They own YouTube. He likes defense companies because you never really know what ELSE is in there that can come out and generate revenue later. Google is the greatest brain child. It has pulled back 10% but is firmly in an uptrend.
The company has not been around long enough to give a seasonality assessment. However, the technicals look reasonably good. The chart shows that it is in an upward trend and is outperforming the market. In the last couple of weeks it has had a bit of a difficult time, but the scenario is quite positive on a technical basis. Watch the technicals very, very closely. If they show signs of rolling over, that will be an opportunity to take some profits.
The core of their business grew 20%, but it was a miss and disappointed. $.85 of every advertising dollar is going into Google or Facebook (FB-Q). Google is really not competing on any of the enterprise levels. They are really starting to monetize YouTube, which they acquired 10 years ago. The new CFO is very well respected on the financial side. P/E ratio is around 19. They are growing 19%-20% a year right now.