
TSE:FTS
This is a core holding in a dividend portfolio. They have gone into the US and bought UNS Energy, which is actually looking very good right now, and we are starting to see that come into earnings. At the same time they have divested their real estate business, both hotels and commercial real estate, so they are really focused on being a purer regulated utility. Low risk to earnings going forward. A good area to put some money to work.
It has fallen down to its usual long term low and has a nice yield. It is a peculiar play. Any expectations of rising interest rates are in the 5-10 year area and these get valued off long term interest rates. This is a steady and long term grower. You won’t hit it out of the park, but you get a decent dividend and capital growth.
This is your “meat and potatoes” utility type name, which he likes. What is being regulated is a stable cash flow and, as a result, a stable dividend. Have recently expanded into the US through acquisitions and about 30% of revenues come from the US. He doesn’t see anything wrong with owning this company, especially if you are not overweight “interest rate sensitive” securities. His preference is Emera (EMA-T), which is very similar, but where you are paying a lower multiple on a valuation basis. (See Past Picks.)
Really likes this company. A couple of years ago they made a major acquisition in Texas, which was really a game changer for them. Beyond that, their other power operations are operating pretty well. They continue to increase their rate base in places where they operate and future dividends are going to increase here still. At current levels, the payout is rather modest, so he thinks they can maintain the dividend for some period of time. You are earning 3.8% on a growing company.
Have been selling their non-core assets with lower returns, and investing in higher growth opportunities. They have $6 billion in CapX needs through 2017. That should help to fuel their growth. He sees 9% EPS in that period compounded and 6.2% dividend growth. Trading around 17X versus the group at around 20X. Payout ratio is low so they can boost the dividend. About 45% of their earnings are coming from the US.
They are going to do 9 Billion in projects. They divested themselves of non-core assets. Utilities are a good place to look at for return because they are regulated. You have a high degree of certainty they can grow their earnings each year.