
TSE:FTS
Historically this had a very strong seasonality during the summer as the rest of the market languished. It only does very well until the beginning of November. Chart shows it has already established an upward trend, and it would be nice to see it move above its current level, which would confirm that it is in an upward trend. A good seasonal trade right through until the beginning of November.
Has been under some pressure as the market anticipates rising interest rates. Thinks the market is overreacting and interest rates are going to stay relatively low, because inflation is not rearing its head. On that basis, it is probably not a bad Buy in this range. Well run, and one of the more growth oriented utilities. You should be buying this for the safe dividend.
Utility oriented stocks tend to do very well in the summer. This had a good move this year, but is now having some difficulty. On a seasonal basis, it is okay to hold. Historically when you get into the fall, you want to choose something that has more beta. For now stick with it, but if there’s any kind of technical rolling over, then look for better opportunities elsewhere.
This is a stock he would steer clear of. The economy is strengthening, so there is the expectation that interest rates are going to rise. Anything that investors have been treating as bond proxies or surrogates for income, is vulnerable to government bond yields going higher. Sees better opportunities in pipelines.
With all the big acquisitions in North America, it is very stable and safe, with a dividend growth. Their earnings growth and dividend growth last year were very impressive. A lot of that came from acquisitions. This is clearly a core holding for income investors. The risk is if interest rates go a lot higher, everybody is going to hurt, including this company. But this is worth holding even in that situation.
Utility stocks tend to do better in the summer. They are more defensive and have a higher yield. Seasonal strength is from about now all the way through to September. The chart indicates it is getting closer to the upper limit of the shorter-term trend channel. It is also getting close to the upper limit of the longer-term trend channel. Utility stocks are not showing the momentum that you would normally expect moving forward. He would stay away from this right now. Wait until it comes back to some of its major moving averages and level of support of about $45.
One of his favourite utilities. Has a large US presence. A big part of their M&A growth is behind them. They made 2 major acquisitions in the last few years, one of them being in Texas, so capital expenditures might be going up a little in the near term. They are much more into energy transmission as well as generation. Dividend yield of 3.5%. (Analysts’ price target is $50.)