TSE:FFH

Fairfax Financial (FFH.TO)

2,264.50
+16.33 (0.73%)
as of Sep 14, 2026, 6:15:12 pm Market Open.
284 watching
0
BUY
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research

Because of the company's style, we can't do much about the earnings volatility. Value investments go in and out of favour, and monetization of assets can occur at anytime and skew results materially. 2018 to 2021 we think was an abberation. FFH barely made any money in 2018 and lost money in 2020. The past four years have been fabulous, yet the stock trades at 9X earnings. If we look at consensus numbers (with the same degree of uncertainty), analysts do expect very strong EPS for the next five years ($95 per share to $184). We might guess (not a prediction) for 15% earnings growth. We would be comfortable buying as long as an investors understands the company and has patience. The dividend is not great but there is at least 0.90% while one waits. But we think its long term record override the weak five year period.
Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free

BUY

Great Canadian company. Values scores 8/10, fundamentals 9/10. P&C insurer plus invests in a wide range of businesses, and results can be mixed because of this investment style. Known for taking big bets, which can lead to big wins or big misses. Making strategic portfolio moves. Sees upside from here of potentially 20%. Outperformed most of its insurance peers. Reasonable PE of 8.4x, and that's an opportunity. Analysts see it as Undervalued by as much as 65%. On her watchlist.

Likes the insurance space and sees a lot of opportunity there. This is a solid pick for investors who want exposure to the sector in more of a contrarian way. A mini-Berkshire Hathaway.

HOLD

He owns this for a long while and did well. He sold it in October when its relative strength weakened. The stock has since bounced off $2,200, but this looks like a sideways trading range with resistance at $2,400-2,500. Insurance struggled this year, but FFH did the least.

BUY

Stay with this long term. Their India business has potential. The stock is not followed well, because of its high stock price.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

In the defensive part of Canadian financial services. Underwriting profitability consistently getting better, the core reason why stock's been doing better. Opportunity to term out its fixed income portfolio. Not a screaming bargain today, but makes sense as part of a diversified portfolio especially as we pivot away from banks and get a bit more defensive.

BUY

Continues to be encouraged by what company's doing. Low double-digit PE, undemanding. Modest dividend so they can keep capital and grow their portfolio.

PARTIAL SELL

Buying back shares. Much more disciplined on investments than previously. Trading at highest valuation seen in quite some time. He's been taking $$ off the table.

PARTIAL SELL

Insurance sector's been behaving well over last 3 years. Trimmed about a month ago. Prefers capital markets banks at the moment, but nothing wrong with this name.

HOLD

Has done extremely well. If you own it, hold. He's just never had the time to fully research it. People he respects and who own it say to buy, buy, buy. 

BUY ON WEAKNESS

He's been in and out of this one and probably should have just stayed in. Really good company. Trend is good. If you own, definitely hold. Has probably arced off the trendline a bit, so it'll probably pull back a bit and you can buy more.

BUY

Very successful. P&C is a bit easier to understand than life insurance, which tends to be rate-sensitive and has investment risk.

WAIT

Wonderful company, his favourite in the group. Has owned in past, but not now due to valuation. Near record highs. P&C insurance is very defensive, so it draws crowds when people get panicky in the market and the price gets bid up. Wait for a better valuation.

HOLD

A bit of a black box. Stock price has done very well the last few years, after having gone nowhere before that. Insurance at the core, and Prem Watsa's done a great job allocating those premiums. Higher rates favours insurers, lower rates the opposite, and he has no control over what the future holds.

If you own it, hold. You may want to investigate succession plans.

BUY

Everyone was shorting it in the 2000s, and now it's one of the most favoured stocks on the TSX. Up 13% YTD. He owns it in TFSAs. Helped by global acquisitions. Combined ratio ~94%. Underwriting has improved, costs kept in line. Almost every operation it has is showing profitability.

Estimated PE for this year is about 10x, normal for insurance industry. Has hit a high, but it's one you want to own for the long term. He continues to buy for clients.

premiumPremium content

It's a Monthly Gems opinion which is available only for Stockchase Premium

Curated by Allan Tong since 2019.
99+ opinions with 4.15 rating.

TOP PICK

FFH will keep chugging along under fine management, improving combined ratios and pure momentum. Bay Street is flashing buy signals and an 11% price target to $2,600. The main drawback with Fairfax is its share price, currently above $2,300. Don't expect a stock split anytime soon. However, if your pockets are deep and your horizon is long, then FFH is right for you.

Showing 16 to 30 of 460 entries