
TSE:EMA
Thinks the same thing about this as he does about most Canadian utility stocks. Have gotten fairly expensive because people are seeking yield. Recently the stock has been setting back. It still has about a 23% upside potential, so it could bounce back to about 2X Book, which has been the peak of the stock price for the last 3 years. This has a decent yield and he doesn’t think there is anything to be panicky about. Not badly priced.
This is one of the few, along with Canadian Utilities (CU-T) that scores relatively cheap in terms of its discount to intrinsic value. 80% of its businesses are tied to recurring revenues and rate resetting revenues. These can move in lockstep with any inflationary pressures. As a result of pretty strong results, and the recent acquisition of Teco Energy in Tampa Florida, it gives management the confidence to be able to keep ranking up those operating cash flows. They also increased the dividend. Dividend yield of 4.38%.
(Top Pick Jul 21/15, Up 20.31%) Fantastic business, regulated. It has been volatile over the last year. There is a nice little base from last fall. It will probably come off a little bit due to seasonality as August is a weak time for it and you get a bump up in Sept/Oct. He’d then like to add to it.
Emera (EMA-T) or Fortis (FTS-T)? He is not that well versed on the individual specifics of each company, but his general view is that it is the safe stocks, all of the businesses that are perceived to be the least economically sensitive, that are what is stretching the values of the marketplace. When you look at the TSX at 20X earnings and the S&P 500 at just below 20X earnings this year, you are generally speaking of utilities. The reason is that people haven’t had any yields in bonds, so they are stretching for yield by dipping into bond equivalent stocks. He wouldn’t be a buyer of these types of businesses right now.
This has been a great stock in this environment. The company has good growth, they’ve grown the dividend, with a wonderful yield. The trouble is, what do they do for an encore? He was not a buyer at $45, and is certainly not one at $49. It’s a good hold if you own it. Hard to see their growth continuing, as the acquisitions they make are becoming more expensive.
From the beginning of 2013, the stock has basically been on an upward tear, and demonstrating characteristics that are not common for the safe utility, “meat and potatoes” type of name. One of the higher-quality names in the utility space. Management has done a great job with acquisitions. The Teco acquisition makes them generate a large percentage of their revenue in the US. That is important, because regulated rates in the US are higher than in Canada. You want to be sensitive of interest sensitive stocks as a whole, because there is a sentiment that rates in the US are going to rise sooner than later. If looking for yield and can take a little bit of volatility, he would start nibbling away this, but don’t expect the returns like in the last 3 years. Dividend yield of 4.5%.