
NYSE:CVS
Tough earnings today, stock down significantly. In a good space, particularly with demographics, but not achieving, not following through on plans, perpetually sideways. Will probably come down further over the next few days. Has the feeling you could buy and trade up to $60-70. Don't own for the long term.
Unique healthcare opportunity with retail pharmacy, health insurer, PBM, primary care network. Vertically integrated healthcare behemoth, cashflow diversification. Trades inexpensively at less than 10x, gushes cash. Free cashflow yield of 10%. Buying back shares. Regulatory reform overhang. Lower-risk healthcare opportunity.
Now, they're America's biggest drug store operator, an area which did well during Covid, but is struggling with theft and other reasons. They're one of the big three pharmacy benefit managers, historically a good business and remains decent. This is a good company, but has been caught up in drug store weakness and sentiment that says sell. Going forward, though, this is an investment. Pays a 3.6% dividend and trades at a 10x PE.
Bought at less than 10x earnings with recent dividend increase is good for share price appreciation. Recent M&A also good for investors. Will continue to own shares. Excellent management team and solid dividend. Weakness is sector creating opportunities to buyout competitors.
Price target was raised today. This peaked in 2020-1 then was hit with a lot of bad news, like doubts over Signify and Oak Street acquisitions. But that negative sentiment has reversed, like their Medicare Advantage stars rating has gone up, and the street sees profitability rising in their pharmacy benefits management system, based on a new model last month. Trades under a cheap PE and pays a 3% dividend. He targets over $100 in 12 months. Is underloved and over-owned.
Medicare side really squeezed on costs, government prices can't keep pace. PBMs are always a target in US. Always looks cheap, single-digit PE for a long time. Not interested.