TSE:CVE
Cenovus Energy (CVE.TO)
Financials 
Technical Analysis 
Jun 9, 2026, 12:00 amThis summary was created by AI, based on 27 opinions in the last 12 months.
Cenovus Energy (CVE-T) is viewed positively by analysts, with a majority expressing confidence in its operations and growth potential. The recent MEG Energy acquisition is recognized as a strategic move that could enhance synergies and volumes in the long term, despite an increased debt burden. Analysts appreciate the management's effectiveness and the company's strong cash flow, particularly benefiting from record refinery margins. The consensus reflects expectations of higher energy prices contributing positively to cash flow, though some caution is advised regarding debt reduction and the potential impact on shareholder returns. Analysts believe Cenovus is undervalued in the current market, with several indicating significant upside potential based on earnings ratios and future oil price predictions.
;fill-opacity:1;'/%3e%3cpath%20d='M31%2018.6001V30H8V18.6001L14.1334%2022.4334L19.4999%2014L24.8669%2022.4334L31%2018.6001Z'%20fill='%23EE5432'%20style='fill:%23EE5432;fill:color(display-p3%200.9340%200.3310%200.1956);fill-opacity:1;'/%3e%3c/svg%3e){kind=small}
Premium contentOur PAST TOP PICK with CVE has triggered its stop at $24. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time. This will result in a net investment gain of 15%, when combined with our previous recommendations.
Management team assuring production/refinery issues not a concern. Expecting company to hit $4 billion debt target in January 2024. At least 30 years of long dated inventory. Not expecting M&A anytime soon. Trading around ~4x free cash flow at $80 oil. Expecting ~$38 share price at $80 oil. Will continue to own shares at 11% of fund.
Eric NuttallPremium content
Remains bullish on oil prices ($85-$100).
Meaningful leverage to $90 oil price.
January 2024 will see 100% return of capital to shareholders.
Currently trading at 17% to cash flow.
Expecting 50% upside at current oil price.
Current share price undervalued.
Eric NuttallPremium content2027 bond issue specifically.
Good if economy enters into a recession.
Expecting short terms rates to go down.
~6% yield is very safe.
Energy space very strong.
Bill Harris, CFARemains very bullish on oil, so he's looking for leverage to that call. Material discount to peers. Quickly getting to the threshold of paying investors 100% of free cashflow. 17% free cashflow yield at current oil price, 22% at $100 oil. Bullet-proof balance sheet. Yield is 2.19%.
(Analysts’ price target is $29.54)Eric Nuttall
Premium contentWith wildfire related production cuts ending, we again reiterate CVE as a TOP PICK. Rainbow Lake production of 20,000 barrels per day is coming back online. The company trades at 9x earnings, 1.6x book value and supports a 20% ROE. Cash reserves are growing, allowing for an aggressive retirement of debt and the buying back of shares. We continue to recommend a stop-loss at $20, looking to achieve $29 – upside potential over 25%. Yield 2.3%
(Analysts’ price target is $29.66)Underperformed on issues with US refinery, indicates on track to get back online. New CEO bought $1M worth of stock. 30 years of inventory in heavy oil. Huge leverage to oil price. Once debt reaches a certain level, investors will reap all the free cashflow. Its 6x multiple is fair value. Yield is 2.57%.
(Analysts’ price target is $29.78)Eric Nuttall'%20fill='%23ffffff'%3e%3cg%20id='Pager'%20transform='translate(423.000000,%201755.000000)'%3e%3cpath%20d='M243.295367,17.286474%20C243.68919,16.9045087%20244.327703,16.9045087%20244.721525,17.286474%20L249,21.4361302%20L253.278475,17.286474%20C253.672297,16.9045087%20254.31081,16.9045087%20254.704633,17.286474%20C255.098456,17.6684393%20255.098456,18.2877274%20254.704633,18.6696927%20L249.35654,23.856763%20C249.159628,24.0477457%20248.840372,24.0477457%20248.64346,23.856763%20L243.295367,18.6696927%20C242.901544,18.2877274%20242.901544,17.6684393%20243.295367,17.286474%20Z'%20id='Path'%20transform='translate(249.000000,%2020.500000)%20scale(-1,%201)%20rotate(-90.000000)%20translate(-249.000000,%20-20.500000)%20'%3e%3c/path%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e)
'%20fill='%23ffffff'%3e%3cg%20id='Pager'%20transform='translate(423.000000,%201755.000000)'%3e%3cpath%20d='M243.295367,17.286474%20C243.68919,16.9045087%20244.327703,16.9045087%20244.721525,17.286474%20L249,21.4361302%20L253.278475,17.286474%20C253.672297,16.9045087%20254.31081,16.9045087%20254.704633,17.286474%20C255.098456,17.6684393%20255.098456,18.2877274%20254.704633,18.6696927%20L249.35654,23.856763%20C249.159628,24.0477457%20248.840372,24.0477457%20248.64346,23.856763%20L243.295367,18.6696927%20C242.901544,18.2877274%20242.901544,17.6684393%20243.295367,17.286474%20Z'%20id='Path'%20transform='translate(249.000000,%2020.500000)%20rotate(-90.000000)%20translate(-249.000000,%20-20.500000)%20'%3e%3c/path%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e)
Debt drawdown taking longer than thought due to weaker oil. Other issues have been fixed. Waiting to hit $4B of debt, and he sees it happening in Q2. Shareholders should be getting 100% of free cashflow early next year. Sees 40-80% upside. 35 years of inventory. Solid, steady CEO. High-quality reservoirs. Yield is 2.34%.
(Analysts’ price target is $33.19)