TSE:CVE

Cenovus Energy (CVE.TO)

38.56
-1.52 (3.79%)
as of Jun 9, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
875 watching
0
Investor Insights
star iconJun 9, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 27 opinions in the last 12 months.

Cenovus Energy (CVE-T) is viewed positively by analysts, with a majority expressing confidence in its operations and growth potential. The recent MEG Energy acquisition is recognized as a strategic move that could enhance synergies and volumes in the long term, despite an increased debt burden. Analysts appreciate the management's effectiveness and the company's strong cash flow, particularly benefiting from record refinery margins. The consensus reflects expectations of higher energy prices contributing positively to cash flow, though some caution is advised regarding debt reduction and the potential impact on shareholder returns. Analysts believe Cenovus is undervalued in the current market, with several indicating significant upside potential based on earnings ratios and future oil price predictions.

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Consensus
Buy
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Valuation
Undervalued
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Similar
CNQ
DON'T BUY

Because of ESG pressure, big cap oil has decided to buy back shares, pay down debt, increase dividends, keep capex reasonable. Not bad to own over the long term, as oil production is not increasing so prices will stay higher. Hasn't liked CVE since it was spun off. He owns and prefers CNQ.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Great company, but share price driven by price oil.
Wait to buy.
Not a good time to be in energy.

BUY

High quality. One of the better Canadian oil and gas producers. Fairly strong balance sheet, small dividend. Stock price drop makes valuation more attractive. Tremendous amount of free cashflow. Increasing dividends. Can buy here, below $20 looks even better.

BUY

They hiked their dividend over 30% last quarter. Trades at a decent PE, 7.5x. Pays a 2.5% dividend. 

HOLD

Trouble in last couple quarters. Oil prices will hang in. Nice cashflow. Over 2-4 years, you'll do OK. He owns CNQ.

WAIT

Missed on Q1 cashflow and production, disappointing. Q4 missed also. Indigestion of fully integrating Husky. Looking for improvement in deliverability and consistency. Looking for a good entry point as it waits out in the penalty box. 

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

CVE is one of Canada's largest integrated energy companies.  Its stock price has been hampered lately due to delays in re-starting its two US refineries.  However, the company is generating great cash flow allowing for an aggressively retirement of debt and share buyback.  It trades at 8x earnings, under 2x book and supports a 25% ROE.  We recommend placing a stop-loss at $20, looking to achieve $31 -- upside potential of 29%.  Yield 1.9%   

(Analysts’ price target is $31.43)
COMMENT

It is the cheapest senior in the oil sector but hasn't executed well. Suncor is better as a large cap pure oil play but he prefers the mid-caps such as Headwater and WCP

DON'T BUY

He owns CNQ instead, mainly because ESG is treating big oil companies like pariahs. So big oil's focus is to buy back shares, keep capex flat, increase dividends, and pay down debt. The bigger companies throw off a lot of free cash as oil price goes up.

BUY

Recent CEO retirement not a concern.
Is a top pick and is buying more shares.
Recent selloff unclear as to the reason.
30+ years of reserves.
$70 oil equates to 3.4x cash flow per share.
Pledged to return 100% of free cash flow later this year.
Expecting a $38 share price this year.

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
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PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Mar 07/23, Down 10.3%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O’Reilly

Our PAST TOP PICK with CVE has triggered its stop at $23.  To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time.  This will result in a net investment loss of 9%, when combined with our previous buy recommendation. 

DON'T BUY

Energy shares on sale right now.
Return of capital to shareholders strong business move.
Economic slowdown will reduce oil prices.
Would not invest in company.


DON'T BUY

He expects the price of oil will soften so is not buying oil stocks.

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O’Reilly

We reiterate this Canadian major energy producer as a TOP PICK. The company announced it will buy out its partner’s share of the 160 mbd refinery in Ohio, with a capacity to consume 90 mbd of heavy production.  We like it has aggressively been retiring debt and buying back shares, while still growing cash reserves. It trades at under 2x book. Recently reported earnings support a ROE of 25%. We continue to recommend a stop at $23, looking to achieve $33 -- upside potential of 28%. Yield 2.4%

(Analysts’ price target is $32.97)
BUY

China re-opening good for energy demand.
Excellent balance sheet strength with not much debt.
Currently trading cheap relative to peers.
Very good name to own in energy sector.

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