
TSE:CSH.UN
This summary was created by AI, based on 9 opinions in the last 12 months.
Chartwell Retirement Residences (CSH.UN-T) is positioned well within the retirement residence market, benefitting from aging demographics and a lack of new supply. Most experts are bullish on the stock, highlighting its solid fundamentals, including high occupancy rates above 95%, which are expected to improve further. Analysts agree on the company's potential for growth, noting its strategy to expand through acquisitions rather than traditional equity raises, which has generated some volatility but is largely seen as a sound long-term approach. Despite its current high price-to-earnings ratio compared to peers, many believe in its strong growth narrative and ability to maintain or increase margins over the coming years, with positive trends in earnings growth projected through 2028.
The REIT space has run up so much that when bad news comes out, these are going to get hammered quickly. You have to ask yourself if you are there for the yield or the share price appreciation. If you are there for the yield, you can get a similar one in other names which will not be as sensitive. If you are there for share price appreciation, these have run up so much. He would be very cautious.
(A Top Pick July 14/15. Up 41.47%.) A senior housing operator. Sold off their US assets, and the money they made on that has been reinvested in Canada. Post the recession, the occupancy rate of a lot of their homes were lower, because of the overbuilding of seniors housing. That is now bouncing back up. Dividend yield of about 3.5%.
(Owns the convertible debentures.) Not a lot of growth, but a good dividend. They have done a really good job. They went into the US at the right time, rode it up, sold it, and used the funds to buy Canadian, so it has had a really nice run for the last 5-7 years. Thinks growth will slow from here. Demographically it is in a good space. He would guess you would get total returns in the 6%-8% range, compound.
The largest seniors housing operator in Canada. Provides a nice yield of 4%. This is an industry where there is good secular growth and tends to be not as cyclical. Sold off their US operations about a year ago, and redeployed that capital back into the US to grow their presence. Recently announced an acquisition of another retirement home and have been doing that for the last few months. They are slowly starting to increase their dividend. 16% of the population is 65 and older, and in 15 years, they estimate it will be 25%.
The number of people over 65 is going to double over the next 25 years. In 3 of the last 4 years, demand has exceeded supply. They have done a great job of sourcing and building their margins. Wait for a pullback.