TSE:CPX

Capital Power (CPX.TO)

61.95
-0.03 (0.05%)
as of Sep 25, 2026, 2:47:12 pm Market Open.
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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

We reiterate this operator of 30 electric generation facilities as a TOP PICK.  The company generates 7,700 MW of power, with plans for another 4.700 MW.  It manages its capital projects efficiently, keeping debt to earnings under 4x, utilizing long term debt.  Cash reserves are growing, while debt is retired.  It trades at 11x earnings, 1.7x book value and supports a generous 26% ROE.  Its sizable dividend is backed by a payout ratio under 40% of cash flow.  We continue to recommend a stop at $33, looking to achieve $43 -- upside potential of 19%.  Yield 6.7%

(Analysts’ price target is $43.27)
HOLD
Ticked all boxes, but it's been a dog.

It's the interest-rate sensitivity of it all. Utility names have all gone down aggressively, even his go-to names of BIP.UN and FTS. He prefers the growth profile of those 2, but nothing wrong with CPX. All are very undervalued, but strong dividend yields, so attractive for people looking for income.

WEAK BUY
Preferred shares that reset in 2028, for income

It's a 315-basis point reset preferred, meaning a 315 point spread over whatever the Bank of Canada 5-year yield is then. Is a long-duration reset, resetting every 5 years. Pays a nice yield and like this company, but is a utility, a sector currently out of favour until interest rates decline. Good for the dividend, but a shorter reset period would be better.

HOLD

Owns shares in company. Not adding to position, but comfortable holding. 5th largest power company in North America. Recent earnings strong. Alberta base with Ontario assets. Moving coal assets to natural gas power. Yield ~5% is very stable. Balance sheet is solid with a good proxy to bonds. Good combination of yield and growth prospects. 

HOLD
Sell CPX to buy CNQ?

Two different companies. CPX is a utility, with better income distribution and lower growth. CNQ has a nice dividend, but with better growth. What are you looking for? For income, pick CPX. For growth, pick CNQ.

At current levels, he'd stick with CPX for the dividend and potential upside. More potential for upside growth, less potential for downside risk.

BUY

Likes it. Nice base around $35.80. Trading in a tight range, breaking above. Looking at the little price movements and comparing it to volume, looks very strong. Might run into problems at $40. Pretty steady business. History of drops, but not huge drops or gains on any one day. Buy it for the dividend, not the upside. Get out if it hits $36. Yield is 6.4%.

DON'T BUY
Why down so much?

Capital is definitely flowing to the other areas that are still working. Interest rates have hurt. Alberta power prices have not been constructive lately, a headwind. Payout ratio is 109% of 2025, so dividend's not as safe. No growth on forecast horizon, trading at 14.5x. 

Names like ALA and PPL are way better.

TOP PICK

Excellent business franchise in Western Canada. Excellent management team with very good dividend. ~7% increase in dividend last year. Very big acquisition with Black Rock last year turning out very well. Now have 30 locations across North America. Very little maintenance expenditure for facilities turns into free cash flow. Debt levels low in comparison to sector peers. 

WEAK BUY

Tough year, along with other green-opportunity power producers. Some of that was unwarranted. Looking at it, but already owns so much in the space, like AQN. No problem with it at current levels. Yield is 6.6%. See his Top Picks.

BUY

One of key holdings. Very strong company. Recently increased dividend. Decline in stock price due to higher interest rates. If rates fall, expecting stock to appreciate. Will continue to grow through M&A. Also has strong green energy segment within company. 

WEAK BUY

14.5x PE, versus Hydro One at 17-18x. Great dividend, but payout ratio is high at 109%. Need to consider anticipated EPS growth rate, and this one's flat. Favourable acquisition. Decent. But ALA is the clear winner on PE and price to growth.

TOP PICK

Excellent business model. Currently in the middle of positive M&A. 6.6% dividend yield very safe. As rates fall, will see company share price rice. Sees excellent growth going forward. Has been buying shares recently, and will continue to hold. 

BUY

Recent acquisition of gas plants in USA. Recent deal accretive. Believes room for further growth. Recent sell off creating buying opportunity. P/E ratio around 13 a good time to buy. Expecting a share price around $40. Would recommend buying. 

HOLD

It has been a victim of merciless interest rates. Have many operations in Alberta and doing well. Today, two companies including Blackrock, have announced a deal to buy two US gas-powered plants. He still likes it.

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

CPX operates a diversified portfolio of electricity generating assets including renewables.  It has a goal to be net-zero emission by 2045.  It increased dividends by 6%, trades at 12x earnings and 1.4x book while supporting a 18% ROE.  It pays a good divdend, backed by a payout ratio under 55% of cash flow.  We recommend placing a stop-loss at $33, looking to achieve $48 -- upside potential of 24%.  Yield 6.0% 

(Analysts’ price target is $48.27)
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