TSE:CPX

Capital Power (CPX.TO)

70.31
+0.57 (0.82%)
as of Jun 8, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
434 watching
0
Investor Insights
star iconJun 7, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 17 opinions in the last 12 months.

Capital Power (CPX-T) is drawing attention due to its strategic positioning in the power sector, primarily focusing on the growing demand for electricity driven by data centers, particularly in Alberta and the U.S. Experts are generally optimistic about the long-term prospects of the company, appreciating its potential for earnings growth despite a recent miss. While some analysts express concerns about management's focus on growth potentially impacting dividend increases, others highlight a solid 4% yield and the company's successful transformation from coal to natural gas. The company's valuation, trading at approximately 27x PE, reflects a premium compared to historical norms, but a significant 21% compound return over the last decade solidifies its reputation as a stable investment. With a strong balance sheet and management's plans for continued dividend growth, the sentiment leans towards Capital Power as a viable long-term hold in a recovering utility sector.

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Consensus
Positive
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Valuation
Fair Value
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Similar
ENB,ENB
BUY

Bit volatile, but sees upside. Very attractive value score of 9/10. Expects stock to rally as interests rates ease. Beat latest EPS. Up YTD 13%. Growth opportunities within the business model. Great dividend yield of almost 6%.

TOP PICK

Fits into defensive thesis. Current valuation very low - great time to buy. Demand for stable electricity very high. Reliable dividend rate (~6%) is good for yield investors. New A.I. data centers will ensure demand for product. Good for long term investors. Strong management team. Business will be benefited with falling interest rates. 

PARTIAL BUY

Doesn't own stock. Would prefer company with better diversification in assets. However, strong business with good assets. Could be a good portion of business. 

DON'T BUY

Unloaded it, as growth rate is negative. Power prices have come down, costs have gone up. Going to get paid your dividend, with 6% growth. Not bad PE at 13.1x. Trying to get into data centres. He prefers ALA or GEI. EMA is a comparable utility with better growth and price to growth.

BUY

Likes recent US acquisitions. Excited about the power business because of AI. A lot more power will be demanded on the grid. Undervalued, time to buy. Yield is 6.5%, with plans to increase 5-6% over next couple of years. 

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jan 12/24, Up 4%)

Lot more upside left.

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

We reiterate this operator of 30 electric generation facilities as a TOP PICK.  The company generates 7,700 MW of power, with plans for another 4.700 MW.  It manages its capital projects efficiently, keeping debt to earnings under 4x, utilizing long term debt.  Cash reserves are growing, while debt is retired.  It trades at 11x earnings, 1.7x book value and supports a generous 26% ROE.  Its sizable dividend is backed by a payout ratio under 40% of cash flow.  We continue to recommend a stop at $33, looking to achieve $43 -- upside potential of 19%.  Yield 6.7%

(Analysts’ price target is $43.27)
HOLD
Ticked all boxes, but it's been a dog.

It's the interest-rate sensitivity of it all. Utility names have all gone down aggressively, even his go-to names of BIP.UN and FTS. He prefers the growth profile of those 2, but nothing wrong with CPX. All are very undervalued, but strong dividend yields, so attractive for people looking for income.

WEAK BUY
Preferred shares that reset in 2028, for income

It's a 315-basis point reset preferred, meaning a 315 point spread over whatever the Bank of Canada 5-year yield is then. Is a long-duration reset, resetting every 5 years. Pays a nice yield and like this company, but is a utility, a sector currently out of favour until interest rates decline. Good for the dividend, but a shorter reset period would be better.

HOLD

Owns shares in company. Not adding to position, but comfortable holding. 5th largest power company in North America. Recent earnings strong. Alberta base with Ontario assets. Moving coal assets to natural gas power. Yield ~5% is very stable. Balance sheet is solid with a good proxy to bonds. Good combination of yield and growth prospects. 

HOLD
Sell CPX to buy CNQ?

Two different companies. CPX is a utility, with better income distribution and lower growth. CNQ has a nice dividend, but with better growth. What are you looking for? For income, pick CPX. For growth, pick CNQ.

At current levels, he'd stick with CPX for the dividend and potential upside. More potential for upside growth, less potential for downside risk.

BUY

Likes it. Nice base around $35.80. Trading in a tight range, breaking above. Looking at the little price movements and comparing it to volume, looks very strong. Might run into problems at $40. Pretty steady business. History of drops, but not huge drops or gains on any one day. Buy it for the dividend, not the upside. Get out if it hits $36. Yield is 6.4%.

DON'T BUY
Why down so much?

Capital is definitely flowing to the other areas that are still working. Interest rates have hurt. Alberta power prices have not been constructive lately, a headwind. Payout ratio is 109% of 2025, so dividend's not as safe. No growth on forecast horizon, trading at 14.5x. 

Names like ALA and PPL are way better.

TOP PICK

Excellent business franchise in Western Canada. Excellent management team with very good dividend. ~7% increase in dividend last year. Very big acquisition with Black Rock last year turning out very well. Now have 30 locations across North America. Very little maintenance expenditure for facilities turns into free cash flow. Debt levels low in comparison to sector peers. 

WEAK BUY

Tough year, along with other green-opportunity power producers. Some of that was unwarranted. Looking at it, but already owns so much in the space, like AQN. No problem with it at current levels. Yield is 6.6%. See his Top Picks.

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