Stock price when the opinion was issued
Definitely don't sell. If you have extra funds, buy more. Happy to buy around low $40s. Premium assets, lower decline rate. Nice mix of oil and gas. Premium management team, one of the best in the world. FCF returned to shareholders via buybacks, consistent dividend increases. Another one to own forever. Has never cut the dividend, now 5.5%.
It has light and heavy oil as well as natural gas and LNG so it can switch around to what's going well and follow the increase in price of the particular commodity. It is the most diversified in Canada so is the one to buy. One of the cheaper at 12X earnings. It is a solid long term performer and has raised its dividend each year for 25 years. On oil in general OPEC has been putting more barrels on the market.
Highest beta to oil price, as it's the least vertically integrated of the seniors. Top-notch management. Very strong FCF. Solid balance sheet. Great yield. Chart's flat over last year, much due to lack of differentiating catalysts (unlike SU or CVE). Low oil price has impacted ability to hit internal debt targets or increase share buybacks.
Steadily climbing to first resistance around the key level of $45, which is a "reversal of polarity" (support becomes resistance, resistance becomes support). Good news is that it's broken out of downtrend. Much stronger technically. Watch: does it break out above $45? If yes, starts to look really good.
He's not bullish oil now (nat gas, yes), so he doesn't own CNQ, though it's run well. CNQ has a deep resource base. The value of the Oil Sands will rise because of its strategic value against the dwindling US shale producers. This is reaching the lows of this cycle. CNQ is more oil than nat gas. Pays a 5.5% dividend yield and strong balance sheet. Are paying down debt.