
TSE:BTE
One of the great themes for 2013 will be the reduction in the heavy/light differential from its current levels. Historically low. This is going to improve over the year. Stock is down over 25% for the year. Dividend yield of 5.96%. On a total return basis you are looking at over 30%. P/E ratio 18.8%. EPS $2.62.
Has been a great performer until the last 6 months of last year. Lack of performance in the last half of last year was really because of 1) departure of the CEO last summer and 2) the fall of heavy oil prices. This company has done a great job in growing production and protecting the dividend. He would take advantage of some of the uncertainty.
Heavy oil discount in Canada has been widening, mostly because of seasonal reasons and refineries doing maintenance. Those are temporary issues. When you look at this company, they have very good land positions and very good heavy oil assets, which they continue to grow. Pays a good dividend of 5.8%, which he feels is sustainable.
It’s been touch for so many Canadian energy companies over the last few months because of the price differential. They are into heavier crudes. There are a number of refineries in the US that have shut down for retrofits. Pays a good dividend so it pays you to be patient. His target is $50 and then he would take a hard look at it as to whether to scale out of it.