BCE Inc. (BCE.TO)

(A Top Pick Jan 9/14. Up 36.49%.) Has added to his position and is still buying.

Telecoms in Canada have valuations that are between 6 and 8.5 times cash flow. This one is at the high end of this scale. This at the expensive end of the range. You should trim when you get to this point.

Management has executed phenomenally here. Their valuation is not as outrageous as some other areas like utilities and pipes. He does not see a lot of return left in it. You are better off with his Top Picks.

This has done extremely well. You are getting a great dividend at 4.2%, which is expected to grow probably by 5% a year. Valuations are somewhat stretched in the telco space in general. However, in Canada we are looking at yields that are falling in terms of government yields and interest rates, which only makes names like this much more attractive.

This is a non-resource/nonfinancial place for yield. It is quite expensive now. This is a 2%-3% earnings grower with a yield of about 5%. The safe yield is highly attractive, so he would think the stock is ahead of itself, and could see it flat a year from now. You are basically just holding this for the dividend.

Fantastic assets. Liked their acquisition of Bell Aliant. They have so much free cash flow. Will spend their next several quarters lowering the leverage of the balance sheet. Sold his holdings about 4 months ago, but still owns bonds. He likes the fibre play, which he feels is more dynamic than the cable. Have good media assets and good pipelines. He would have no problems owning this.

Reached another all-time high today. This is moving more towards content. Made the Astral Media acquisition which is a move towards mobile, and that will increase the wireless data. A defensive name for a potentially volatile market. Yield of 4.33%.

Inflation numbers out of the US is pretty much at an all-time low, and he doesn’t expect it to be rising with the economy softening. All of this translates into no rush for interest rates to go up, so you are now starting to see money go back into the telcos. Another factor that has been working in their favour is the risk of a foreign carrier coming in. Much less today than it was in the past. This company has done a great job at growing their percentage of revenue from the wireless side. In 2007 it was about 15%, whereas today it is closer to 40%. He likes to see this because the wireless space is quite profitable, especially with the increased sales in smart phones.

This is a company that has paid a nice dividend and done well for its investors for a long period of time. He would recommend being cautious at these levels. It has been a definite benefit to the sector rotation that has gone on in valuation. There isn’t a lot of news that is pushing it other than maybe some better synergies out of the Bell Aliant deal they did last summer. Be cautious and maybe take some profits to redeploy them elsewhere in the market.

If you want income, this one is fine. She has been out of the telecom space for the last few years. This and Telus (T-T) have both done well. If she wanted exposure, she would prefer Telus. Her concern was the regulatory overhang.

Telus (T-T) or Bell Canada (BCE-T)? He is not in the telecom space. This is an oligopoly and is pretty competitive. Telus has outperformed this one in the last little while. There is nothing wrong with either one of them. Because there is a good yield on both of them, they might have a bit of yield sensitivity if the bonds do start to back up a bit. Wouldn’t chase these, but would buy on pullbacks. They are both quality companies.

The fact that it broke upwards into a new level is pretty exciting. Through the years, it has had a pretty good run except for a couple of periods of volatility. Some of his indicators gave an “add to it”, which he did today.

Sell Bell (BCE-T) to buy Vodafone (VOD-Q)? From a practical point of view, this is just a call on GDP growth. If GDP increases by 2%, telcos seem to find a way to get 1.8% out of your wallet. If you believe in the continued growth of the economy, this is one that you can buy. There will be some issues when they raise interest rates, but longer-term this is a growth story. 4.6% dividend yield. Thinks a lot of the income names are expensive, but if you have a longer-term view, the dividend is sustainable.

Trend is still very positive for this company. Chart shows a nice little break out. You could see this on the upside to mirror the range that it was in, which would be a little bit higher than current prices.

(A Top Pick Jan 9/14. Up 22.14%.) This may be the best performer of the major Canadian telcos in 2014. Benefits from being a content provider, as well as owning the tubes the signals go through. Bell Fibe has done pretty well.