
TSE:BCE
This summary was created by AI, based on 45 opinions in the last 12 months.
BCE Inc. has undergone significant changes recently, including a 56% dividend cut to reinvest in growth, particularly in AI and data centre infrastructure. While the dividend remains appealing for income-focused investors, many analysts express concerns about stock appreciation potential due to intense price competition within the telecom industry and pressures from new entrants like Freedom Mobile and Quebecor. Although BCE is noted as a key player among Canadian telcos, opinions diverge on its growth trajectory, with some seeing potential long-term benefits from its strategic shifts, while others believe the company's core business faces ongoing headwinds. The sentiment towards BCE suggests it is viewed more as a defensive income investment rather than a growth opportunity, leaving investors split on whether it represents a buying opportunity or a risk in the current market environment.
Canadian rates are staggeringly high compared to other jurisdictions. Despite many governments promising they were going to introduce competition in the sector, nobody has successfully done that. He doesn’t own this because he feels that someday there may be price competition of a real sort, but then again, maybe not.
The issue with the telco industry at this stage is that you have a new entrant on the wireless side coming in. You are also facing a lot of pressure on the cable side with the people going over the top, etc. The industry is facing some serious headwinds. He has been reducing his exposure to the sector. However, if you have to be in this sector and you want very low risk, this is probably the name to have. They have a decent strategy and are deriving very visible and stable growth. The dividend will continue to grow at a slow pace, but you have good visibility on it.
Acquiring Manitoba Telecom (MBT-T), and will essentially give BCE 500,000 new subscribers if the deal goes through. The “average revenue per user” is considerably lower than the one for BCE. Once those clients come online, with the wider variety of products and services BCE has, the revenue per user can go up as well. 4.5% dividend yield.
There are a lot of good qualities about on safety, dividend growth, etc. Its valuation is okay. His concern with telecoms right now is that they are at historic high levels. We are coming off a lot of volatility in the early part of the year, and a lot of flows went from materials, energy and cyclicals to telecoms and utilities. Trading at pretty close to its 52 week high.
He models that they can grow earnings by 6% over the next couple of years. Right now, like the other big 3, it is pricey relative to its 5 year. Also, the payout ratio is creeping up. In order to increase the dividend, they are going to need to execute very well, and not get impacted by the skinnier bundle. He would look to get into this $5 cheaper.
This scores well on all 3 of his metrics. It is the single best stock from a volatility perspective. Good dividend of 4.5%. This should be one of those stocks that is a core value of a portfolio.