
NASDAQ:AVGO
Having data centres in different regions is going to be increasingly important. AI is real, but absolutely ahead of itself. Phenomenal CEO. Up 30% YTD makes him choke on valuation. Best of breed tends to get a premium multiple. May get an opportunity to buy on a dip if we see some weak news coming out of the US.
Shares tanked today on news of China's DeepSeek stealing the AI crown from ChatGPT--DeepSeek is faster and cheaper. All AI-related stocks, including energy plummeted as the Nasdaq slid over 3%. He sold his shares already, but if the stock stabilizes, this may be a buy, because AVGO has a lot of business away from AI-related data centres. However, he doesn't know--this could fall further. It's a confusing situation that happened so suddenly that you have to sit on your hands and wait.
The latest move on the chart is parabolic, it's moved too high. Draw a simple trendline, and you can see that it's way off. Also look at the 200-day MA, and if it's 15+% over, you know it's overbought. Highly likely to pull back.
Though he would need his more sophisticated office software to be super-accurate, he could see it easily falling to $200-210.
Really large footprint in a niche area of AI, which will provide better growth than an NVDA (whose growth is starting to slow). Building up AI infrastructure and cost efficiency. Valuation is great. The CDR hedges against the CAD moving up from its very low level now. Yield is 1.2%.
(Analysts’ price target is $197.96)
Big pullback in April. Pushing out to new all-time highs, quite positive. Long-term chart looks fantastic. Great name. Definitely doesn't mind adding at these levels. Looks technically strong, and in the right place as semis have really started to strengthen and lead the market higher again.