Stock price when the opinion was issued
Really large footprint in a niche area of AI, which will provide better growth than an NVDA (whose growth is starting to slow). Building up AI infrastructure and cost efficiency. Valuation is great. The CDR hedges against the CAD moving up from its very low level now. Yield is 1.2%.
(Analysts’ price target is $197.96)The latest move on the chart is parabolic, it's moved too high. Draw a simple trendline, and you can see that it's way off. Also look at the 200-day MA, and if it's 15+% over, you know it's overbought. Highly likely to pull back.
Though he would need his more sophisticated office software to be super-accurate, he could see it easily falling to $200-210.
Shares tanked today on news of China's DeepSeek stealing the AI crown from ChatGPT--DeepSeek is faster and cheaper. All AI-related stocks, including energy plummeted as the Nasdaq slid over 3%. He sold his shares already, but if the stock stabilizes, this may be a buy, because AVGO has a lot of business away from AI-related data centres. However, he doesn't know--this could fall further. It's a confusing situation that happened so suddenly that you have to sit on your hands and wait.
Product offerings in different industries helps them. Out of total $50B sales, $12B is from AI -- great, but they need to pick up the pace a bit. Concerned about semis in general; SMH ETF has not recovered from July peak the way the rest of tech has.
AI infrastructure chips may escape semiconductor cyclicality, but AVGO is not yet a dominant player in this area.