BroadcomAVGODON'T BUYDec 02, 2024Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 08, 2026. Market Open.
AVGO is like the smaller cousin of NVDA. Built GOOG's AI program, increasingly making waves with Anthropic (owns Claude). Interesting, but not a shoot-the-lights-out opportunity. He'd buy.
MRVL is trying to take a share of the chips that go into GOOG, and is already involved with AMZN cloud. Be careful. It's not a given that it's a capable designer of cutting-edge chips. Coin flip. We've been fooled before.
NVDA is actually more interesting than both.
Macro fears of AI overspending, diminishing returns, circular financing, and bubble worries. Stock-specific fears of a highly competitive market, top 5 customers account for 40% of revenues, high debt levels from past acquisitions may impact future M&A.
Stunning rise since 2022. Unprecedented thirst for products. Acquisitions continue to be a growth driver. Big cashflow, very sustainable dividend. Seven analyst upgrades over last 30 days.
Trades at 23x PE 2027 earnings, growing at 34%.
Product offerings in different industries helps them. Out of total $50B sales, $12B is from AI -- great, but they need to pick up the pace a bit. Concerned about semis in general; SMH ETF has not recovered from July peak the way the rest of tech has.
AI infrastructure chips may escape semiconductor cyclicality, but AVGO is not yet a dominant player in this area.