AtkinsRéalis Group Inc. (ATRL.TO) Buy, Sell…

AtkinsRéalis Group Inc. (ATRL.TO)

88.19

+1.53 (1.77%)

as of Oct 9, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.

329 watching

DON'T BUY

Other companies have gotten into trouble bidding on these large contracts. They got rid of part of the 407, which was their cash cow because they needed cash. They still have a stake, however. This whole global engineering space is hard to predict. It is so hard to know if these large companies underbid on these large contracts then 3 years later find they lost money on them.

DON'T BUY

They have a number of huge problems, including the threat of class-action litigation and official prosecution. The contracting business does not seem to be able to make money. The assets are worth more than $16 per share. The issue becomes what is your appetite to accept other people's problems. He does not know if this is the time to buy. It could be the falling knife. He is nervous about it and is not buying.

WAIT

Lower lows, lower highs. Not something he wants to be involved in yet. Signs of positive divergences. Spring is opportune time to get in.

WATCH

They got a reprieve when there was a large shareholder who injected cash. The engineering world is still going through some strife and of course there is the political issues around them. He would wait and see what the litigation will hold.

DON'T BUY

A classic value trap for several years. It has several issues, starting with a leadership void. They hold some great infrastructure assets, so there's some value here. But there is so much opposition to unlock that value. They got into some political trouble. Avoid.

RISKY

Why the big rally lately? Lots of volatility here. The problem is trying to understand the core business strategy. They used to do a "turnkey" construction business, with a fixed cap on construction costs -- moving towards cost plus instead. Now, with recent asset write downs, he is having a hard time value the underlying business as it changes strategy. He expects further write downs. He would like to see them de-risk things before coming back in. A big shareholder has come in recently to help recapitalize them. A speculative buy at this stage, but he is not back in.

WATCH

A good time to consider to buy more right now. The stock could be wroth $30 but a lot of things have to go right. They just sold a stake in the 407. They could sell the rest that can bring in money. They also made a valuable acquisition. There is risk of whether they can bid on contract. High risk, high reward.

DON'T BUY

He is not a big fan of bottom fishing. Buy it at a new high, not a low. It could be a value trap. He does not follow this company closely. He prefers WSP-T.

DON'T BUY

They're facing so much trouble now. It's not worth it. It continues to decline. Seek better opportunities elsewhere.

WAIT

There is real systemic risk here. However, the 407 highway contract is worth $20 per share and the stock is trading below $22. There is no shortage of political risk. You need to wait to buy, when it is the most painful moment when all the institutional buyers are out. He is watching developments closely.

COMMENT

Opening comment The Caisse just reacted very negatively to SNC Lavalin this morning (https://www.newswire.ca/news-releases/caisse-reaction-to-snc-lavalin-statement-823828177.html). SNC's biggest shareholder is losing patience with SNC's management. SNC has been struggling with many issues for a while, but has started address them, like selling their stake in the 407 highway. Now, they are re-evaluing their divisions. SNC has failed to find successful strategies to rescue their business lines and this has failed to stabilize their price, but it hasn't. Caisse want the board to act now, and TD warns that SNC's just-announced strategic direction may not satisfy those fast enough. A strategic review results in selling a division, an entire company or no change at all. Some investors call for cancelling some fixed-price, long-term contracts that risk cost overruns (i.e. steel prices labour costs). There could be job losses in Quebec.

DON'T BUY

He does not consider it an infrastructure stock. The chart is brutal and now the supreme court may be saying they violated rules with bribery in Libya. They may not be able to bid on Canadian contracts for 10 years with the government if they are found guilty.

DON'T BUY

There are so many issues facing this company presently. If you want to be in the engineering space, this could be a good value entry. He does not see, however, a clear path to growth. He would look elsewhere.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

His model price is $24.26, below current prices, but this is book value as he sees it. SNC is interesting now (he's not recommended it before). This is worth a speculation around $23. Wait for a pullback.

WAIT

SNC-T looks like they will need to go to court for the issues of the past and will not be able to defer the court action. They now have an interim CEO. She will stay away for now until the dust settles.

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AtkinsRéalis Group Inc. (ATRL.TO)