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TSE:ATRL
Their last quarter was atrocious. Big problems here. But there is value. At the end of the day you have concession assets that are worth $20-$25 a share. The rest of the business is being tossed at you for nothing. Have a new CEO. Once the market starts feeling better you can see the stock in the mid-$40.s.
Had that horrific decline from issues in third world countries. They have to get over that. Global leader in engineering space. Somewhere Canadians can excel. Now he has the chance to objectively look at it with a much lower price point. We are cutting back on mining globally, but not in the oil sands. There could be a unique opportunity here. His question is if he would increase income by using this to replace a stock in his portfolio.
He would prefer Brookfield Infrastructure (BIP.UN-T). This company has a good business but it is in the doghouse, which is likely to be for a while. It takes time for a new CEO to prove himself. Stock has basically been churning sideways since 2007. Wait for a turn in price behaviour and in numbers.
Interesting and complex story. Had a scandal in the spring about unauthorized payments in North Africa which battered the stock. This was followed recently by a very poor quarter from operations. Huge backlog which is growing. Own a lot of infrastructure such as airports and toll roads which are tremendously valuable and tend to grow over time. Stock is quite inexpensive with the fair value in the mid-$40's and once the cloud clears they could get back in the $50 range again.
Thinks this stock will mark time. There are lots of issues surrounding the company. Technically it is below the 50 and 200 day moving averages, both of which are falling.