
TSE:ATRL
(Past Top Pick on May 15, 2017 Up 9%) Their return for the next 12 months will be higher than 9%. They just settled with provincial governments over the 2012 bribery scandals, though still have to settle federally. Excluding their highway 407 operation, their mulitple is less than 10X earnings. This should trade in the mid-$60s ($55 today).
Their steady growth ended a decade ago, then they got into a governance (corruption) scandal overseas. To evaluate them, look at their various operations. They own the 407, a toll highway, their crown jewel. But they also do engineering and construction, which is cyclical, and an area mired in legislative roadblocks. Not one he'd buy.
Technically the stock looks reasonable. However, at 22 times earnings it is not cheap. There had been 70,000 layoffs through the company, he says. It is a mining and infrastructure play. It is not his favorite space to invest.