TSE:ATH

Athabasca Oil Sands Corp (ATH.TO)

11.46
-0.55 (4.58%)
as of Jun 5, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
403 watching
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Investor Insights
star iconJun 7, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 11 opinions in the last 12 months.

Athabasca Oil Sands Corp (ATH-T) is currently seen as a strong investment in the oil sands sector, as multiple experts highlight its commitment to returning 100% of free cash flow to shareholders while reducing share count and increasing production. Many reviews suggest that the stock has a positive long-term outlook, with expectations of significant upside potential, particularly at higher oil prices, indicating confidence in its ability to rebound despite market volatility. Technical indicators also support the idea of a long-term bullish trend, along with substantial reserve potential and ongoing stock buybacks. While some experts express caution about market pressures, the overall sentiment is optimistic, suggesting this is an attractive buying opportunity going forward.

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Consensus
Positive
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Valuation
Fair Value
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Similar
SU
BUY
If we get above the $13.90 it will go to the upper end of the range. Support where we are right now.
TOP PICK
(Top Pick Nov 5/10, Up 16.22%) Rallied a little in the last month. SO cheap on an asset business. Fully funded, production in 2014. Deal with Chinese. If they buy entire Dover project, ATH ends up with 2 billion dollars otherwise they continue to be the operator and you win either way.
COMMENT
His objection to this is “no dividend”. This one is over the horizon. If you want to get into the oil sands, you can get into Suncor (SU-T) or Canadian Oil Sands (COS-T) instead.
BUY
Cheap, enormous land area. Yes, buy this name.
DON'T BUY
Difficult times since its IPO, which was multiple times oversubscribed. Didn't stay at the IPO price very long before it dropped to $10. He is a little the re-of the long lead times oil sands projects as he expects there will be a. Of cost inflation in this area.
PAST TOP PICK
(Top Pick May 27/10, Up 58%) Great company, nasty launch, though. Fully funded. Doing some progressive things. Oil sands.
RISKY
Timing of IPO was not great. He would prefer SU. ATH is an oil price play. If you think it is going up then it is a buy, otherwise he prefers the producers.
TOP PICK
The IPO last year was priced too high. It has come back up to that point now. This is a very high quality stock and a seriously large oil sands accumulation of land. They just bought more land in the last few days. He is inspired by the idea that ‘oil is oil’ and ‘we have it’ and ‘you have got to have it’. Figures this one will run higher.
DON'T BUY
He would be cautious. If the deal with China takes place they would be loosing a most valuable asset. There would be risks down the road
COMMENT
Very special case as there won’t be production until 2014. Management is working on some options such as another joint venture partner or selling the company. It’s either dead money or management will make something happen.
TOP PICK
The problem is that there is no cash generation for a couple of years, but they are fully funded to 2014. You are paying for reserve development. It’s cheap. You may have to wait for a while.
BUY
The big failed IPO of the year. Assets where great but private shareholders made so much money that they were selling. That is all out of the way. Significant insider buying. Everyone hates it, failed IPO bit insiders are buying so may be time to buy it.
DON'T BUY
There was a little too much hype in it. Good news is that there is not much down side, but there is not much upside.
DON'T BUY
The problem is that there is no production until 2014. The asset value is only $8 plus cash of about $1.
DON'T BUY
More challenging to value than other oil sands companies. Many unproven wells. There are much better names.
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