Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp (AQN.TO)

Not one of his better moves, but he's still holding. Trying to get the Kentucky deal done. In a perfect world, the deal doesn't go through. Need to get debt down and rebuild confidence with investors. Dividend cut did not help. Got ahead of their skis. 

Owns shares in company.
Believes in prospects for company despite recent troubles.
Company caught offside by higher interest rates (floating rate debt).
Large Kentucky Power acquisition will be tough to digest.
Management has lost credibility in past few years.

Down 40% last few months. Rough Q3. Higher interest rates and taxes. Earnings profile should stabilize. Inexpensive valuation compared to peers. Good assets. Don't just toss it, as you're giving up too much value. 12x earnings. Window of opportunity to turn things around. Whether Kentucky Power goes through or not, positive either way. Reasonable path to $15 over the next 2-3 years. Yield is 5.87%.

Many headwinds lately. Fortis and Hydro One make more sense, offering stability and dividends. AQN has been basing since December. Technically, this looks rough. If you own it, hold, but don't enter this.

Floating debt making business hard with rising interest rates.
Recent Kentucky Power acquisition makes future uncertain.
Would recommend buying.
Good long term hold.

They bought that Kentucky company at a time when they needed to repair their balance sheet. The stock has been punished already, but will take some time to correct. They are cutting their dividend. Wait a year or so to see where the company is at.

He owned it but sold at $16 to $17 since he didn't like the deals it was making. There are too many headwinds in the industry including rising costs to build new structures.

Continues to pursue Kentucky Power, which is the right move because utilities don't come up for sale very often. They can take that utility and repurpose it. When a utility comes off so badly, you have to look at it as a buying opportunity. Renewable part struggling, and management needs to do better on this. He doesn't have confidence in management. If the assets are good, management is temporary.

He sold it in November 2021 when they bought a Kentucky company; didn't like that ROI and many institutional investors still don't like that deal for its huge capital cost, but limited return. They recently announced a 40% dividend cut, and they must sell some assets (but AQN hasn't said what). This is dead money until management regains credibility.