
TSE:AQN
Dividend investing is for 30, not 3 years, to survive ups and downs. AQN has been very difficult in the last 3-4 years. But new management has sold off their renewables business. Also, he's very positive with companies that have a lot of US business, like AQN. When a re-rate comes, things will start to move up all at once. He sees upside in AQN, though doesn't know where. His average cost base is $12, and he's been buying all along.
He has a small position, accumulating on weakness for the better part of 2024. The whole sector of alternative energy has taken a back seat with the Trump administration. The whole ESG segment has been underperforming. So it's definitely challenged. He doesn't know when a catalyst might arrive and bring this back to life.
With a name like this, you have to think about a 5-10 year horizon. As Buffett says, when there's blood in the street, that's where the opportunity is.
Definitely undervalued, trading at a lower multiple than peers. Lost all credibility. If it's in a non-registered account and you can bank the tax loss, sell. If in a registered account, perhaps wait until the new year because tax-loss selling may be putting extra pressure on the stock price right now; could see a bit of a bounce in the new year.
FTS and BIP.UN are his go-to names in the space.
Probably a more positive outlook for 2025 than in 2024. A warning for those who invest just for the dividend; high yield doesn't always mean the stock price is safe. Beaten up already, and then tax-loss season came along.
Peeling back the layers, it's still well run. At these levels, don't buy it for income. You're buying for growth. In the medium term, there are growth opportunities here.
Today's disappointments are tomorrow's opportunities. He's looking at water utilities, a business that won't go away. He's waiting for a plan from the new management team. Once we get it, the stock will re-rate back to an acceptable range, with double digits over 5 years very possible.
It's sold off a lot. Utilities tend to improve when interest rates fall. Pays 5.5%. At the end of the day, people need to pay their utility bills, in booms or recessions. AQN holds $16 trillion of assets, so it's not a small company. They've done well historically, including a beat in their last quarter. The street rates this a hold, but sees 30% upside to $8.50. She wants to see a turnaround first, but its on her watch list. AQN ranks 7/10 for fundamentals and 10/10 in value.
Rough waters, has not been an easy hold. Pressured by interest rates, dividend cut. A lot of negatives baked into the price. He looks at it from time to time for his clean energy portfolio, but isn't quite there yet. More interesting at these lower valuations. Doesn't consider takeover potential as a rationale for long-term investing.