
TSE:AQN
This summary was created by AI, based on 29 opinions in the last 12 months.
Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp (AQN) is currently undergoing a multi-year turnaround focused on becoming a more pure-play regulated utility after divesting its renewable energy assets. The company is predominantly operating in the US, which has prompted plans for redomiciling to attract more US investors and investors appear cautiously optimistic about its restructuring efforts. However, many experts express concerns about the high levels of debt and the modest earnings growth. While there are positive signs of management's improved execution and focus, there is still a prevailing sentiment of skepticism until the company can demonstrate consistent profitability. The stock is perceived as a potential turnaround candidate, but its history of dividend cuts and operational challenges keep some investors at bay.
Following its dividend cut last year, AQN underwent a strategic review and is hoping to sell its renewables division. Activist investors got involved, and the CEO took the fall and exited the company. It now has an interim CEO. The current interest rate curve has not been good to the sector at all, and most are down a lot. Analysts note also that high rates likely mean AQN will get less for any asset sale. Lots of uncertainty here is the likely reason for the decline.
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The stock might be range bound as it plans to sell its renewable business. Much will depend on how much it gets. The initial investor reaction was somewhat negative. If interest rates peak, which they appear to be doing, the stock should do better. We would give this until year end, and then consider the possibility of a tax sale (if applicable) and then a reconsider in 2024.
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NEE is the biggest American utility, much bigger than AQN. NEE has a huge business in electricity (Florida) which is much more stable than AQN's green energy. NEE does have a renewables business though in the US and Canada, and this holds promise. The grid will continue to get greener over time. A consistent earner and has been meeting or beating quarters much more consistently than AQN.
If you've held on through this year's ups and downs, keep holding. For a new position, look elsewhere. Utility sector has been hard hit, as higher-for-longer interest rate expectations took hold. AQN went down more than most because of its specific issues. Utilities are recovering. It will find its footing.