
TSE:AQN
This summary was created by AI, based on 28 opinions in the last 12 months.
Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp (AQN) has experienced significant challenges over the past few years, particularly stemming from high debt levels associated with its aggressive acquisitions in the renewable sector, which led to a dividend cut and a loss of investor confidence. Despite these struggles, recent reviews indicate that the company is undergoing a transformation, refocusing on its core regulated utility business after divesting most of its renewable assets. Analysts have observed signs of improvement, suggesting that AQN is gradually regaining footing under new management. However, the stock remains in the 'penalty box' and is viewed as a 'show-me' stock, awaiting proof of its capability to generate consistent profits again. While there is optimism about future earnings potential and attractive yields, many experts suggest a cautious approach due to the lingering restructuring phase.
Just closed their US acquisition, which had been expected. There are instalments receipts that are going to get exercised, which is probably going to create some churn in the stock for the next month or so. This has a good dividend with a lot of growth from the US side. It has been hurt because it has been perceived as a utility play, which are now out of favour. If you are going to buy something in this group, you have to buy growth, and this has the best 12-month growth in the group.
They have a good track record with acquisitions. They just closed an acquisition of a US utility that should give them good growth prospects for the next two years. He is concerned about what happens under Trump with renewable power investments. The other problem is tax reform. He is worried if their tax credits will stay going forward.
A good company with about a 5% yield. Their policy is to try and grow the dividend at about 10% a year. Have been able to grow their FFO by about 11%+. Their payout ratio has been falling, which is good. The only caveat is that if interest rates are going to be rising, you have to be careful about stocks like this. They deal with a lot of debt, so their debt costs are going to be rising. Has been a high dividend payer. As interest rates rise, that tends to be discounted by investors. If he were dealing with this, he would hedge it out by being Long this and Shorting another utility against it.
This company has a lot of their operations in the US, probably 60%-70%. If bond yields go up, investors in this will question why they are in it and would look at moving out. The chart shows a long upward move, but there has been a correction taking place since mid year. Because bond proxies tend not to do well in January, he would wait a little longer.
Had sold his holdings, and has recently stepped back into this name. Looking at utilities and telcos, anything that is interest sensitive has recently had a selloff. In its group, this is the top of class in terms of cash flow and EPS growth. They are also somewhat diversified. Dividend yield of 4.97%. (Analysts’ price target is $14.20.)
A great company. They have great growth, modelling 15% EPS over the next couple of years. A lot of their assets are in the US. Empire is on track to close, which is accretive to them. Q3 was in line. This shouldn’t be too impacted by Trump policies. In a rising bond yield environment, maybe you shouldn’t pay 19X, maybe 17 or 18. You could sell some Puts to get it at a lower level. Dividend yield of 5.1%.
He loves the alternative energy space. Over time we are going to have less carbon, and we are not going back to coal fired plants and dirty energy. The world is aiming to get cleaner. A company like this, that focuses on renewables, should do very well in the very long run. Looking at earnings and the multiple, it is a little bit expensive. At the current price, it looks very attractive. He would nibble away at this.
Fortis (FTS-T) or Algonquin Power (AQN-T)? This is a good time to invest in either. Sharp interest rate increases are a risk, but she doesn’t expect that. In a rising rate environment, you want to buy companies that have the ability to increase their dividends, and hopefully their yields will also increase over time. Fortis would be her preference.
This company was really happy with the results of the election, because they had just bought a company in Missouri. The benefits to them will be switching from coal to natural gas, and also getting wind power assets with a lower tax rate, and being able to convert the US$ back to Canadian to pay off shareholders. Shareholders are probably going to get a nice bump every year on their dividend, probably in the 10% range. As a dividend grows, the share price often follows.
This has performed quite well, and sees it probably in the $12.50 range, maybe to $13. This has been diversifying itself amongst renewable assets, cogent facilities, natural gas powered assets, etc. so it is basically a utility. It has shown growth rates that most utilities have not. His only concern is that they have done acquisitions in the US. Whenever a Canadian company buys US assets, he gets a little nervous because those assets have obviously been seen by 100 US companies. For them to win the deal, they would have had to pay a higher price. If looking for exposure to power, he would look at Capital Power (CPX-T) which has been beaten up and is paying a 7% yield.