
TSE:AQN
This summary was created by AI, based on 29 opinions in the last 12 months.
Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp (AQN) is currently undergoing a multi-year turnaround focused on becoming a more pure-play regulated utility after divesting its renewable energy assets. The company is predominantly operating in the US, which has prompted plans for redomiciling to attract more US investors and investors appear cautiously optimistic about its restructuring efforts. However, many experts express concerns about the high levels of debt and the modest earnings growth. While there are positive signs of management's improved execution and focus, there is still a prevailing sentiment of skepticism until the company can demonstrate consistent profitability. The stock is perceived as a potential turnaround candidate, but its history of dividend cuts and operational challenges keep some investors at bay.
He likes this. Pays a really nice dividend yield. There are growth opportunities here. Recently did a purchase in the US and will be getting some synergies from there in future quarters. Their last results were very strong and target prices were starting to get raised. Not cheap, but there is going to be an avenue where you are going to see continued revenue growth, most likely dividend growth. He could see 15%-20% total return.
He really likes this name. Be cautious that higher interest rates in the US will filter to Canada and hurt companies like this a little bit. They are growing so well. 21% earnings per share growth is his model. They have a good and improving balance sheet and growth from several sources. You should continue to own it and use weakness to add to it. He is forecasting 8% dividend growth every year. They beat Q4 estimates. (Analysts’ target: $14.25).
2017 is probably going to be a pretty decent year for this company. It is a combination of an unregulated power developer as well as owner of a lot of regulated utilities, especially in the US. They’ve done very well with a strategy of acquiring smaller orphaned utilities, managing them better, and passing on some of the tax synergies, being a Canadian holding company. At some point, when it gets big enough, there will be less accretion continuing, but for 2017-2018 they have more than enough runway for growth. Have been growing dividends very rapidly.
What makes this a little exciting is the renewable energy, and they’ve grown their capital quite a bit. In 2010 they only had $1.2 billion invested capital, and now have $6.1 billion. Quite a bit of growth in a short period of time. They’ve done some acquisitions, and at the same time their revenue and cash flow has grown. Valuation still looks cheap. Dividend yield of 4.9%. (Analysts’ price target is $14.25.)
Payout ratio is 50%. A “sleep at night” stock meaning it has a low beta, volatility is half of the market over the last 5 years. Year-over-year sales was up 9% in November and earnings were down 31% and down 21% in the coming quarter, but are expected to grow from $.42 to $.65, a 54% lift, against an 18 PE giving you a .33 PE to growth. A PE to growth that is less than 1%X is typically viewed as attractive. Ranks in the top 25% of his database. Enterprise value to EBITDA is 13X, which is pretty reasonable. Thinks there is a pretty secure future. Dividend yield of 5.2%. (See Top Picks.)
Revenues have skyrocketed, but at the same time so has their debt, a danger signal. They pay a very healthy dividend and have a lot of good assets. Lately, utilities have done pretty darn well, but they come into favour and out of favour. If he owned this, he might consider selling it. He would look very carefully at the debt load and ask himself “what if”, and that would be somewhat worrisome. Dividend yield of 5.2%.
If interest rates go up, this is the company that gets hit in this sector. He did not get excited about the price coming off a bit when interest rates went up. It is a great company and now his nervousness is more on the strength of the US$. He would buy if it was not for the macro factors. 5.5% yield.
A renewable power company, and like a lot of Canadian companies, they made an acquisition in the US. There are a few more opportunities in the US. Bigger is generally better in utilities. They just raised their dividend by 10%. This is one of his favourite renewable plays. Their dividend track record in growth has been very impressive. A very, very solid name.
(A Top Pick Jan 21/16. Up 9.72%.) Chose this for solid growth. He believed that yield proxies had more life in them and that interest rates would stay low for some time. He still sees this growing really well, 16% over the next couple of years. He sees dividend growth. The whole group might be a little expensive when there are more exciting alternatives.
Probably his biggest utility-like position. It has outperformed the sector for quite some time and has been able to grow its cash flow and dividend handily. 4.7% dividend yield is very attractive.