Chris BlumasAlgonquin Power & Utilities CorpAQN.TOSELL ON STRENGTHDec 18, 2024

He's trading it before, but it's much more volatile than the utility stocks. It's an income stock. The chart is making lower highs and lower lows. The trend is down. The chart scores 5/10. The chart hasn't broken the downtrend. Could possibly break out.

You can finally take a look at this name. Redomiciled to the US; lost a lot of money flows in Canada, but can pick up more in the States. Outsized opportunity for investors.

Gas, electricity, and water distribution. Divested renewables. Big question is whether the activist shareholder will sell its stake and further depress the shares? Cut dividend twice since 2022. Don't step in front of this one. Yield is 5.1%.

Pullback has to do with its debt level and rising interest rates. More volatile than you'd expect for a utility, partly to do with projects its won/lost. Nice dividend. If you want capital appreciation, may need to manage your position. If you're in it for the income, the income is there.

He owns no utility names right now, based solely on interest rates moving up.

Rates going up will affect utilities. Algonquin Power will keep its TSX listing and will get some US index inclusion. The price is attractive and the dividend yield is 5%. It will take a while for the company to clean itself up but it has started to do so and one day the issues will be better. He is topping up.

Whole space is on fire. On valuation, a better place for new $$ than TRP.

Continues working through a multi-year turnaround. Now mostly a regulated utility providing natural gas, water, and electricity. Positive that management's returned focus to simpler utility operations. New, approved utility rates are helping earnings. More than 80% of operations in US, HQ plans to move to US (reduce taxes, attract more US investors).

Debt remains extremely high, earnings growth still modest. She's just monitoring, needs to see more execution.

Turnaround mode. Continues to be in the penalty box. Looking to redomicile to the US for greater index inclusion and become known to more US investors. Valuation is quite low. Geographically unfocused asset mix. More attractive names in the space. 

They want to be headquartered in the US where 80% of their business is. They cut their dividend twice and is now manageable. She sees little dividend growth. They sold their renewable business. Cut your losses and look for dividend growth elsewhere.

Hasn't run up as much as PPL, so it's a name you can add to.

He owns a preferred share. AQN's problem is the debt from all their acquisitions back in the day; interest rates hit them hard and forced a dividend cut. They sold their renewables business. Then, shares fell after an earnings report that lowered their 2027 profit guidance. AQN now focuses on gas, water and electric services. The street is saying to them, "Prove to me you can make money again." It's sitting in the penalty box waiting for management to show a positive move.

It's one of the weaker utility stocks. The chart is choppy. It has resistance from late-2023 and has a hard time breaking that level, just south of $9. It will likely be rangebound. If you don't mind that, you can just collect the dividend.

There is hope. They are now focused on regulated utilities and are out of renewables, which didn't work out. They're under-earning what they are allowed to make, due to government strictures. The opportunity ahead is for them to increase their profitability both internally and what they're allowed.

Sold most of its renewables business. Coming out of some very dark years. Continues to put $$ in. Attractive looking out 5 years as new management regains footing and builds confidence with investors. Will grind higher. Yield is ~5%.

They've had several problems in recent years, but after selling their renewable business, they are on track to be a regulated utility. They have many US operations. Owns another utility. AQN lowered guidance for tax reasons.